NFL Picks

9 Super Bowl LVI Prop Bets

JaMarr Chase

Super Bowl Prop Bets

The Super Bowl can’t be overwhelming, there are too many things to bet on. It’s kind of like scrolling Netflix. You’re bombarded with so many options that you end of not picking something, or you pick something you’ve already watched. In the book Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz wrote that instead of increasing our freedom to have what we want, the paradox of choice suggests that having too many choices actually limits our freedom. Learning to choose is hard. Learning to choose well is harder. And learning to choose well in a world of unlimited possibilities is harder still, perhaps too hard.

In other words, you can get “Choice Overload” which is the tendency for people to get overwhelmed when they are presented with a large number of options, often used interchangeably with the term paradox of choice.

So I’m going to do the hard part for you. I’m going to give you 20 great Super Bowl Prop Bets. I’m going to do my best at finding value in the market and give you the best bets that are safe and offer the best return. Now I know people usually like flashy, even silly Prop Bets for the Super Bowl but these are bets I’m betting myself.

  1. Lowest Scoring Quarter (First Quarter +210) – Neither quarterback has ever gotten this far in the playoffs and there will be an edge for the defenses early on. I feel the clock in Stafford and Burrow’s head may run a little fast and we could have a few 3 & Outs in the first quarter. Betting on the First Quarter under is one way to go, but picking the lowest quarter for points out of all four at +210 is a better option in my opinion.
  2. Sony Michel over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-120) – I could see an even carry distribution in this contest, or at least 60/40. Akers played well in the championship game, but his two fumbles against the Bucs almost cost them the game.
  3. Joe Burrow Over 276.5 Passing Yards (-114) – The Rams defense will make it difficult to run the ball with any success, I also feel this will be like the Bengals’ last two games in which their trailing and need to throw to comeback.
  4. Ja’Marr Chase Over 5.5 Receptions (-156) – Tough one, as Ramsey will likely be covering him, but Chase is a machine. As I mentioned, the game script for me is the Bengals struggle to run the ball and need Burrow to throw heavily in this game.
  5. Cooper Kupp MVP (+600) – I understand this is usually a QB award, but if Kupp puts the team on his back, which we all know he’s capable of, I think there is a really good shot he could win the MVP. All it will take is a few mental mistakes from Stafford, maybe an interception or fumble for Cooper Kupp to get the credit to win the award. Frankly, at 6 to 1 odds, I think it’s a low-risk high reward prop bet.
  6. Cooper Kupp over 107.5 Receiving Yards (-110) – Sticking with the Kupp MVP narrative, I think he’s the best WR of the day and cracks 110 receiving yards.
  7. No Kneel Down +140 – I like the odds on this one, plus most people think this game could end on a last-second field goal.
  8. Total Game Sacks Under 5.5 +100 – This is the kind of bet that you’re feeling great about the first few quarters then get nervous on late. These QB’s know to be smart with the football and not put their team into bad down and distances. However, when you need points, quarterbacks will hold the ball longer. I like this prop bet a lot if the first half sacks are low, I need 4 maybe 5 for the game is fair, but 6 sacks is too many.
  9. Odell Beckham Jr. Two TD’s (+600) – Long shot wager here that I like. I not going to break the bank on this one, but maybe the Bengals double Kupp call game and OBJ shines in relief. This doesn’t really correlate to my other Kupp bets, this is more of a hedge bet, but at +600 I like it.

Also, I recommend 10 Ridiculous Super Bowl Prop Bets

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