Fanduel NFL Picks Week 16
I am taking a BIG L for last week. I will be the first to admit it. Jaylen Samuels was solid but the rest of my selections failed to hit expectations. For the most part, the studs of the NFL failed to produce in week 15 and could have cost you money in DFS or a trip to your championship matchup. The beautiful thing about DFS, until the season is over, we get another chance the very next week to recoup our losses. That is exactly what we are going to do in week 16.
The main slate is missing 8 teams this week as the Redskins, Titans, Ravens, and Chargers will be playing on Saturday and the Chiefs, Seahawks, Broncos, and Raiders will be in action on Sunday and Monday night. I am aiming to win you some money in cash games while you win your league championship and we make week 16 the best yet.
Recommended DFS Tools:
- Daily Roto – Daily Roto has Redzone data, snap counts, targets, and an awesome Lineup optimizer
- The Quant Edge – TQE has a WR/CB matchup tool that’ll be perfect for WR Start/Sits.
$8,400 vs Steelers
I’m cringing a little just typing his name. However, Drew Brees has famous home/road splits. He plays incredibly better at home in his dome. After a 3-week road trip, Brees finally gets to return home in what is a very important game to maintaining the #1 seed in the NFC. In 6 homes games this season, Brees has thrown for 1,925 yards (320.8/game) and 20 touchdowns (3.3/game). The Steelers defense has been stronger against the running game this season. They have allowed the 8th most points to the position since week 12. At some point, the Saints offense has to get rolling again and this matchup with the Steelers in New Orleans offers a perfect starting point.
$6,000 vs Texans
I am not sure if FanDuel mispriced Nick Foles this week or forgot he was the starting quarterback for the Eagles but he is a minimum price. Cody Kessler, Josh Rosen, and Jeff Driskel are all more expensive than Foles is. Foles does not have to turn in a great performance to hit his price point and it allows you to fit in so many other studs this week. Last week Foles tossed the rock for 270 yards but failed to get into the end zone. Foles see the Texans in week 16. The Texans have allowed the 4th most points to quarterbacks over the last 4 weeks. During this 4 game span, they have allowed 338 passing yards and 2 touchdowns per game. With the Eagles not out of the playoff picture quite yet and a struggling run game, Doug Pederson should attack the Texans where they have been weakest recently and that is the passing game.
$9,300 vs Falcons
How in the world can you enter a cash game lineup this week without the hottest back in the NFL? Christian McCaffrey has scored 22 or more points in 6 of his last 7 games. He has also been on the field for every snap since week 11. McCaffrey will continue to be the focal point of an offense that is starting a backup QB. This week he will face off with the Falcons. The Falcons have allowed 106 catches to running backs this season including 14 to McCaffrey in week 2. The Panthers will attack with short, quick passes in an attempt to let their playmakers create yards after the catch. This is where McCaffrey excels and since the Falcons struggle against passes to backs it should be another strong outing for McCaffrey.
$7,900 vs Bengals
Nick Chubb took over as the top running back after the Carlos Hyde trade and has not looked back. He is the primary back and used that way. Since week 12, he has played just under 61% of the snaps and in the red zone, has received 50% of the Browns opportunities. Prior to week 15, Chubb had scored a rushing touchdown in 5 straight games. To go along with all of this, the Bengals have allowed 23.25 points per game to opposing backfields. Game script in this game favors a heavy workload for Chubb and with his explosiveness and red zone work, he is in line for a solid outing in week 16.
$8,500 at Jets
Has there been a more consistent receiver in football this season? Adams lowest point total on the season was 12.1 points in week 4 when he finished with 8 catches for 88 yards. He has 12 touchdowns on the season, while Aaron Rogers has yet to throw an interception when targeting Adams. He has received at least 7 targets in every game and has double-digit targets in 4 of his last 5 games. If Adams is not being talked about as an elite receiver, he should be. He now has a chance to stay red hot against the Jets who have allowed the most points to receivers over the last 4 weeks. Rodgers has struggled at times this year but when leaning on Adams he has been excellent. With no Aaron Jones, Rodgers should lean heavily on Adams.
$6,300 vs Texans
Alshon Jeffery is Foles’s favorite target. He is fresh off his best game of the season where he caught 8 passes for 160 yards. In week 14, Jeffery saw 9 targets, catching 6 of them for 50 yards and a touchdown. Over the last two weeks, Jeffery has been reintegrated into the offense and it has led to solid numbers. The price of Jeffery makes it very difficult not to fit him in as a WR3 with some of the higher priced players on the slate. As stated above, the most successful way to attack the Texans is through the air. The Texans have allowed the 3rd most points to receivers over the last 4 weeks. Jeffery’s re-emergence should continue in week 15 as the Eagles continue to try and make a playoff push.
$6,100 vs Giants
The options at tight end are pretty limited this week. Eric Ebron may have let everyone down last week but with the available talent this week, I am going back to the bank. Ebron has been dominant at times this season and we all know Andrew Luck likes to target his tight ends in the red zone. This has led to 12 receiving touchdowns for Ebron. The Giants rank 24th against the tight end since week 12. The Giants have given up on the season and have nothing to play for at this point in the year. The Colts, on the other hand, are trying to play their way into the 6th seed in the AFC. Luck should deal against the Giants and that should lead to a nice game from Ebron.
Week 16 is going to bring you a championship and some extra winnings with your cash games. Good luck!