Fanduel: Early Look for Week 14
This is an exciting time! Hopefully, the culmination of all of your hard work will be paying off and you will trounce your competition on your way to a season-long championship. If you were anything like me, you were glued to the tv last night watching the Eagles/Redskins game either hoping for points or begging that the game is all about defense. In one of my leagues that is points based, if Carson Wentz scored fewer than 27.2 points I would make the playoffs. When Wentz threw a touchdown pass and two-point conversion with 14:10 remaining in the 4th quarter, it gave him, 286 yards and 2 touchdowns which was good for 25 points, I thought I was toast. However, from that point on, he threw for just 20 yards and finished with 25.8 points and I reached the playoffs by just 1.4 points. For every instance similar to mine, there are the people that won on the 90 yard TD from Adrian Peterson. This is the best time of year for everyone in fantasy football if you made the playoffs.
For those of you that suffered a heartbreaking loss and missed the playoffs, you are most likely turning to DFS for the remaining 4 weeks of the season. The good news is that I am here to help you make money and forget about that feeling you currently have because you missed the playoffs. Here are my 7 players to consider for FanDuel cash games in week 14.
Recommended DFS Tools:
- Daily Roto – Daily Roto has Redzone data, snap counts, targets, and an awesome Lineup optimizer
- The Quant Edge – TQE has a WR/CB matchup tool that’ll be perfect for WR Start/Sits.
$8,300 vs Bengals
Philip Rivers is having a career year in 2018. He has been one of, if not the, most consistent quarterback in the league. He should be getting more hype as a possible MVP candidate but with most of that hype going towards Patrick Mahomes, Rivers has quietly been dominant. Rivers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season while only throwing 6 interceptions. He now gets a Bengals team that doesn’t play defense. They are 9th in quarterback points allowed over the last 4 weeks. That includes matchups against Case Keenum and Lamar Jackson. Rivers is in a position to light up the Bengals as the Chargers continue to make their playoff push.
$8,500 at Buccaneers
Some of you may be slightly bitter towards Drew Brees right now. He may have been one of the reasons your team missed the playoffs, but he can make you some money this week. Prior to last week, Brees had thrown 3 or 4 touchdowns in 4 straight games. He has also only thrown 3 interceptions in 2018. We all know what Brees is capable of on any given week and this one has a chance to be a huge one. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play defense about as well as the Bengals. On the season, the Bucs have allowed the 3rd most points to quarterbacks. In the first game of the season, these two teams met in what was a shootout. Brees tossed 3 touchdowns to go along with 439 yards. The Bucs defense should be attacked through the air and I expect Sean Payton to do just that.
$7,500 vs Falcons
I was on Aaron Jones last week and although he did not score as much as I expected, I am back on the wagon in week 14. Mike McCarthy has been fired and Jones gets a juicy matchup with the Falcons who have allowed the 4th most points to running backs since week 10. It is also well known at this point that the Falcons really struggle to stop pass-catching backs and Jones is very good when catching passes out of the backfield. He has also scored at least one touchdown in every game since week 10 and I expect that to continue in week 14. When Joe Philbin was with the Dolphins and the games were close, Philbin was a very balanced coach. The Packers should play a close game with the Falcons leading to a solid workload for Jones.
$7,000 vs Lions
David Johnson had 2 touchdowns vultured in week 13 by Chase Edmonds. As a DJ owner, I was angered by both. I am looking for a rebound in week 14. If you are concerned about Johnson losing red-zone touches to Edmonds in the future, you shouldn’t be. According to Daily Roto, DJ is receiving 92% of the red zone carries and prior to last week, Edmonds had only carried it twice. After being utilized in the passing game in week 10, the last time Josh Rosen threw for over 150 yards, Johnson has only caught 4 passes. The Cardinals coaching staff should see this and start to force the ball to Johnson in the passing game. Since week 8, after the Damon Harrison trade, the Lions have been allowing 19.97 points to running backs. The Cardinals and Lions should play a close contest which will mean plenty of opportunity for Johnson. An added bonus, if Kerryon Johnson plays, I like him a lot this week.
$6,900 vs Eagles
Typically midseason trades at wide receiver don’t work out in year 1. Amari Cooper has bucked that trend and has been excellent with Dak Prescott and the Cowboys. Since the trade, Cooper has seen 8 or more targets in 3 of 4 games while topping 75 yards in each of those 3 games. In their first matchup with the Eagles, Cooper’s first game with the Cowboys, he caught 6 of 10 targets for 75 yards. Now that he has integrated himself into the offense more, Cooper should be able to put up better numbers. Since week 10, the Eagles have allowed 23.53 points per game to receivers. In a game that has immense playoff implications, Cooper will be the focus of the passing game again and has the upside to blow up.
Odell Beckham Jr.
$8,000 at Redskins
Odell Beckham Jr. is having a down year by his standards. That down year still consists of over 1,000 yards and 6 touchdowns through 13 weeks. The last time Beckham reached 100 yards receiving in a game was week 9 against the Redskins. He has also had at least 1 touchdown in 4 of his last 6 games. Opportunity is what matters to a lot of people. OBJ has opportunities in every game. He has received at least 9 targets in all but 1 game this season. Don’t let the matchup with Josh Norman scare you. Norman is a better man cover corner and the Redskins play almost 50% of their defensive snaps in a straight zone coverage with no press or jam at the line. Norman is allowing a QB rating of 116.5 when thrown at while in zone coverage. The Redskins are now down to Mark Sanchez at quarterback and could be feeling very deflated after their most recent loss to the Eagles. While the Giants are coming off a big win against the NFC North-leading Bears. Beckham is due for a monster week and this is a great spot for that to happen.
$8,000 vs Ravens
We all know the Ravens have a good defense. It is typically a matchup most people try to avoid in DFS. However, over the last 4 weeks, tight ends have averaged 11.5 points per game which is 7th most in that span. The Chiefs want to throw the football and without Kareem Hunt, they need to throw the ball. The Ravens excel at limiting opposing teams time of possession with ball control and then strong defensive play. Travis Kelce will be the featured pass catcher in this game. He most likely won’t come close to the 12/168/2 game he had last week but could easily come close to 100 yards and a score. At a thin position, I am happy to spend up this week.
For those that made the fantasy playoffs, good luck this week. For those that missed out, make sure you win some money this week to help you get over not making it. Good luck!