Bold Predictions for Week 6
Last week, I went three for six in bold predictions. We hit on Alvin Kamara bouncing back in a big way, Dalvin Cook scoring two touchdowns, and George Pickens outscoring Diontae Johnson. However, Jared Goff did not stay hot last week, Cooper Kupp did not disappoint, and the Chargers were able to pull out a win against the Browns. Let’s shake off last week’s misses and hit on all of them this week as we dive into my six bold predictions for Week 6.
Mike Evans finishes as WR1 for the week
Mike Evans had a huge game against a soft Kansas City defense in Week 4. Other than that, the four-time Pro Bowler has been slightly underwhelming. If we take away his boom week, Evans has totaled just 213 receiving yards and one touchdown on 12 catches in three weeks of play.
This week, I think we should expect another big performance from the wideout against a bad Pittsburgh defense. Sportsbooks like Betway have the Bucs as one of the biggest favorites of the week. Through five weeks, the Steelers have given up the second most passing yards and the third most touchdowns. What’s even more encouraging for Evans this week is the gameplan trend for Tampa Bay. Even with Chris Godwin and Julio Jones battling lingering injuries, Tom Brady has thrown 52 pass attempts in each of the last two games. He’s spread the ball around a ton, but I assume he will look for his favorite target often in a game that should feature many red zone trips. I’m expecting around 150 receiving yards and two touchdowns in a monster performance for Mike Evans.
The Bills get their revenge on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs
Buffalo is looking for vengeance after losing a heartbreaker to Kansas City in the playoffs last year. Both teams are 4-1 and convincingly so due to their high-powered offenses. Josh Allen is the league leader in passing yards while Patrick Mahomes is the league leader in passing touchdowns. However, the Bills enter the game with a defensive advantage. They have allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL and the fourth fewest passing yards. The Chiefs on the other hand have allowed the most passing touchdowns through five weeks. Mahomes has needed to carry them to victory on several occasions. For Josh Allen and the Bills, it’s been a breeze with one of the NFL’s best defensive units. I expect Allen to light up the Kansas City defense with four or more touchdowns while the Buffalo defense holds Mahomes to two or fewer scores, resulting in a big win for the Bills.
The Eagles lose their first game of the season
As a surprise to most, Philadelphia is the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL through Week 5. The team has just been clicking on both sides of the ball and Jalen Hurts seems to be the real deal. With that being said, Dallas has looked like the 1984 Bears so far this season. They have held opponents to the third-fewest points per game this season and have the second-most sacks. Meanwhile, the Eagles have an injury-riddled offensive line that is currently in the middle of the pack in sacks allowed. I don’t expect Hurts to be sacked a ton, but I do expect him to be forced out of the pocket quickly, preventing him from getting to his first or second reads. The Cowboy’s formula so far has been to make opposing quarterbacks uncomfortable and run the ball on the offense. If Dallas can slow the Eagle’s run game, I expect an upset in Week 5.
The Broncos offense shows signs of life
“Broncos Country” has not been riding so far this season with Russell Wilson at the helm. Through five weeks, Wilson has just one game in which he threw for two touchdowns and that was in a nine-point loss to Las Vegas in Week 4. It’s been brutal for the entire offense, but maybe things can change this week against Los Angeles. The Chargers have given up at least two passing touchdowns in four of the first five weeks. Even Davis Mills was able to throw for 246 yards and two scores against this team, totaling 15.84 fantasy points. That would be good for the third-best fantasy performance this season for Wilson. Needless to say, it’s a safe bet that Russell Wilson will be able to look like Russell Wilson of old this week against a soft Chargers defense. He’s due for a big game and for the fourth time this season, the Broncos will be in a primetime game. I expect Wilson to throw for at least 250 yards and three touchdowns in a bounce-back win.
Dalvin Cook finds the endzone twice, again
I hit on my bold prediction for Dalvin Cook last week, so let’s keep it going. In Week 5, Cook rushed for 94 yards and two touchdowns against Chicago. His performance would have looked even better had he not fallen inches short of the goalline for what would have been his third score of the game. This week, Cook faces a defense in Miami that has allowed the sixth most rushing touchdowns to their opponents. Another factor that could play into a big game for Cook is that the Dolphins will be down to their third-string quarterback for the second straight week. This should mean a positive game script for a hot team like Minnesota from start to finish. Not to mention, this is a homecoming game for Dalvin Cook as they will be playing in his hometown of Miami, Florida. He has played high school and college games at Hardrock Stadium, but never a pro game. Cook is primed to smash yet again with so many factors playing a role. I expect the four-time Pro Bowler to find the paydirt twice, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he makes it three in front of his hometown crowd.
Zach Ertz finishes as TE1 this week
In what has been a down year in terms of the tight end position, Zach Ertz has been one of the few bright spots. Through five weeks, Ertz has hauled in 28 catches for 229 yards and two touchdowns. Usually, this would be nothing to write home about but this is good enough to make him TE4 on the year so far in PPR formats. This week, he should be in for a real smash performance against a bad Seattle defense. The Seahawks have allowed Kyle Pitts to have five catches for 87 yards, TJ Hockenson to catch eight passes for 179 yards and two touchdowns, and Adam Trautman to catch a 22-yard touchdown. They give up big plays and big performances to this position and Zach Ertz should be no exception this week. He has six catches in each of his last three games, proving to be one of Kyler Murray’s favorite targets. If he looks for Ertz as often as he has been, look for the big tight end to dominate this week. I expect 75 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches from the three-time Pro Bowler.