The 5 Most Trustworthy Daily Fantasy Players

Most Trustworthy DFS Players

daily-fantasy-footballWe’ve all heard the commercials. Daily Fantasy Sports outlets like FanDuel and DraftKings allow us to take any player we want on any given week. Therefore, unlike our season long leagues, we can use a player in one week and never have to use them again. On the other hand, any regular DFS player knows that they’re a few players that cut to the core of you—players that just always find their way into your lineups. There’s a reason for that. When all else fails, they’re your safety blanket.

DFS isn’t always about a number of raw points you score, but rather the value you’re getting for each player, about their price tag. For instance, let’s say in a given week, both Odell Beckham, Jr. and Kendall Wright score 24 points. OBJ was priced at $8,800, while Kendall Wright had a bottom-barrel $4,400 price tag.

Player

Team Price Tag DK Points Scored Return Value
Odell Beckham Jr.
$8,800 24 2.73
Kendall Wright
$4,400 24

5.45

[the_ad id=”58835″]Obviously, both of these players brought the same amount of raw points to your team. The “skill” in DFS comes from your ability to find the diamonds in the rough, like Kendall Wright in this situation. Wright still got you the 24 raw points you needed, but ate up $4,000 less salary, giving you more room to improve your lineup elsewhere. Another metric used to describe DFS success is the player’s return value. In this case, Wright’s cost was $4,400 (4.4), and he returned 24 points, therefore when we divide points / cost, he achieved 5.45 points per thousand dollars paid. This is more commonly referred to as “returning 5x value.” We can see that Wright returned double the value of Beckham in this scenario—that’s a building block for one heck of a lineup.

In DraftKings cash games, like 50/50s and Head-to-Heads, as a guideline I look for players that I think will achieve 3x value, and return a 150 point lineup. In tournaments, we want to find players who might blow up, like Wright did in the example above, and put up 4x, 5x, or maybe 6x value, these are the kind of plays that can help us rise to the top. Now, Kendall Wright isn’t the archetype of a consistent, reliable value. But, there are players out there that “return value” on a weekly basis.

Without further ado, here are five players that will provide you that 3x floor you so desperately desire.

Other Suggested Reads

matt-ryan-fantasy-footballMatt Ryan (QB, Atlanta Falcons)— So far this year, Matt Ryan has scored 40 more fantasy points than the next closest QB… and he’s done so in brilliant fashion, returning 3.5x value in 6 of 9 weeks. Ryan has scored at least 15 FPP in each game this season, and he’s had elite upside, posting 30+ points in 3 games this year. Ryan posted respectable numbers against two of the league’s top secondaries, scoring 15 points against Denver without surrendering an interception, and dropping a staggering 26.6 points on the Legion of Boom in Seattle. Not bad, if you ask me. As a member of the NFC South, Ryan will have the opportunity to continue feasting on the weak defensive backfields of Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Carolina. Furthermore, he’s got the best wide receiver in football to rely on with Julio Jones on the outside. The league’s top passing offense should continue to thrive, making Ryan an enticing, trustworthy play moving forward.

Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys) — Yes, you read that right. Dak hasn’t only been a refreshing surprise this year—he’s also been a consistent, trustworthy DFS stud. Let’s take a look at his game log:

Dak Prescott
Week Salary DK Points Value
1 $5,000 10.3 2.06
2 $5,800 18.3 3.16
3 $5,700 23.5 4.12
4 $5,700 18.1 3.18
5 $5,600 18.5 3.3
6 $5,900 20.5 3.47
8 $5,800 28.3 4.88
9 $6,100 23.88 3.91
Avg. $5,700 20.2 3.5

Dak has taken the reins in Dallas and hasn’t let go. He’s averaged over 20 DK points per contest. More impressively, Prescott has achieved 3x value in every game this year with the exception of his Week 1 debut. Anyone who watched that game remembers that his training wheels were still firmly attached, so it’s great to see the coaching staff give him some creative freedom. Week 8’s performance on Sunday Night Football was a glimpse of his true potential: he threw for 287 yards and 2 TD, while adding 38 yards and a TD on the ground. In any event, Dak is more than just a flash in the pan. With teams game-planning around Ezekiel Elliott, look for Prescott to continue to burn opposing defenses.

David JohnsonDavid Johnson (RB, Arizona Cardinals)— Ever since Johnson took over the starting role in Arizona last year, he has been a model of consistency. In a full-point PPR format like DraftKings, he’s more like pure gold. Dating back to Week 11 of last year, Johnson has returned 3x value in 12 of his last 17 games. This year, he’s averaged over 25 fppg on DraftKings. Not to mention, his upside is as unlimited as any player in the game, having posted a 47.9 point performance last year, and two consecutive games over 36 points this season. Furthermore, Johnson has posted at least 15 DK points in each game this year—so even his bad games are salvageable. DJ is also matchup proof and can be relied upon every single week, in my opinion. Use Week 7 as evidence, when he was underpriced ($7400) and dropped 28.1 points on the Seahawks. Johnson is one of the rare players who can play to their price tag. Why is that, you ask? In games this year, Johnson has averaged 4 catches for 51 yards. That’s an additional 9.1 FPPG and gives Johnson immense value over backs who don’t play a role in the receiving game… it also makes his floor rock solid. Fire him up whenever you can.

[the_ad id=”63198″]DeMarco Murray (RB, Tennessee Titans) — Another model of consistency this season can be found in the Tennessee backfield. This year, DeMarco Murray has enjoyed a bounce-back campaign, aided by one of the best offensive lines in football. He’s been the 2nd best back in Fantasy Football so far this year, and has done so in a manner reminiscent of his days in Dallas. So far, Murray has returned 3x value in all but one contest this year, averaging just under 20 touches per game, and 22.6 DraftKings points per game. To further bolster the case for his consistency, he’s only been held under 20 DK points once in nine contests this year. Murray has enjoyed the breakout of his tackles, veteran Taylor Lewan, and rookie Jack Conklin in the debut season of Mike Mularkey’s “exotic smashmouth” offense. To help matters, the Titans don’t have any weapons in their receiving corps, and Marcus Mariota hasn’t fully come into his own yet, despite a few strong starts here and there. Therefore, the Titans will have to stick with Murray and feed him if they want to compete down the stretch. The Titans have already surpassed their win total from last season, so I don’t see them deviating from the formula that’s carried them thus far.

Mike Evans (WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — Some players aren’t the most talented, but find their way into a situation where they have a ton of opportunities to produce. For other players, talent alone may allow them to shine, despite a crippling situation. Then, there’s Mike Evans, a freak athlete, with a gunslinger QB and a backfield on it’s 4th starting RB. What does that mean? Targets galore. So far this year, Evans has 103 targets, which is 15 more than any other player in football. Those targets have translated in production to the tune of 745 yards and 8 TD. Through 8 games, Evans has averaged 23.2 DraftKings points per game, and has eclipsed the 29 point mark 3 times already this season. When a talented player like Evans is getting fed the ball to this extent, production is guaranteed to follow. He’s had over 10 targets in all but one game this year, and has scored in 6 of his 8 outings. In Week 9, Evans put up 41 points on the Falcons in his most impressive outing to date, proving his elite upside. To make things even better, Evans’ 2nd half schedule is a dream, including two dates with the Saints, one with Carolina’s hobbled secondary, and plus matchups against Chicago & Kansas City. Expect Evans to continue this level of consistency moving forward. Do what you can to get Evans in your lineup—you won’t be sorry.

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