Dynasty Wide Receivers to Sell
The 2019 NFL season is slowly creeping up on us. Free Agency, the NFL Combine, and the NFL Draft are all just around the corner and will be here before we know it. This is one of the best times of the year for dynasty football owners to make changes to their teams and capitalize on the current value of players in dynasty football leagues, or lack thereof. If you missed my first piece on Wide Receivers to Sell, be sure to check it out in addition to the following list of players that I’ll be buying for the 2019 NFL season.
Please Note: Staff Dynasty Rankings Are Subject to Change
Age: Turns 31-years old in July
The first player on my list is none other than ‘Mr. Big Chest‘ himself, Antonio Brown. Apparently, he is over his last nickname of ‘Ronald Ocean’ and has moved on to bigger and better things. Whatever you want to call him, there’s no denying that Brown has been a fantasy superstar year in and year out. There’s also no denying he’s been a diva on and off the field and Pittsburgh has finally decided that they’ll part ways with him. With all of the drama in Pittsburgh and the uncertainty around his future, now could very well be the last time you see him inside the top-ten of our Dynasty wide receiver rankings. He’s currently the WR10 behind Amari Cooper and ahead of Stefon Diggs.
Brown is heading into his tenth season in the NFL this year, and has posted 1,200+ receiving yards and a minimum of eight touchdowns every year since 2013. There is no denying that Brown has continued to produce on an elite level and regardless of where he lands in free agency, he could very well produce at an elite level for another year or more. As the current WR10, the main takeaway with Brown is that he’s still being valued around some names like Amari Cooper, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, or Keenan Allen. If I own Brown, I’m looking to move him for one of these younger studs or a running back of similar value. Just for reference, according to FantasyPros Dynasty rankings, David Johnson, Travis Kelce, Nick Chubb, and James Conner are a few players at other positions with similar value.
— Aaron Schill (@aaron_schill) February 21, 2019
The main point with selling Brown right now is that you can capitalize on his WR10 value and gain some youth in the process. If Brown lands an any situation that is less than ideal for his fantasy value, he’ll drop outside of the top ten. There’s also a chance that doesn’t get the type of deal he’s looking for based on all of his drama and personal issues and that in itself could be an issue. If you do sell Brown, don’t be shocked when he produces again in 2019, I just don’t foresee him having too many elite seasons left in him. I’m capitalizing on his value while it’s still there.
Age: Turns 29-years old in August
Adam Thielen is a guy that has been fairly undervalued for a couple years now, and while I’ve be an advocate for holding, I’m finally on board with selling him. The reasoning for this comes largely from the offensive changes that the Vikings made in the second half of the season and moving forward. Kevin Stefanski was named the interim offensive coordinator in December and now being named the permanent offensive coordinator moving forward. Another reason is Stefon Diggs. who will be 26 in December and is coming off his best season to date. He finished the season with 149 targets over 14 games compared to Thielen’s 153 over 16 games. He also ended with his first season with over 1,000 receiving yards and his nine touchdowns were the most he’s had in a season yet.
In the first half of the season, Thielen was the WR1 in fantasy football and fell off in a huge way over the second half. He finished the first eight games with 202 points in PPR scoring and over the next eight, he had 105.3 points. He had six touchdowns in the first half and three touchdowns in the second half of the season, not to mention the drop in volume. The team made it very clear that they want to run more and Stefanski did his part of getting Dalvin Cook more involved after he stepped in. I expect this to continue into 2019 and Cook starting off the season full healthy will be a perfect scenario for this to happen.
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Age: Turns 26-years old in August
After signing with the Chicago Bears, we saw a massive bump in value for the former Jaguars wide receiver, Allen Robinson. We are now four years out from seeing Robinson put up 1,400+ receiving yards and 14 touchdowns. That was in 2015 where we saw Blake Bortles lean heavily on Robinson for a couple seasons in a row. He saw 151 targets in both 2015 and 2016, but in 2016 he saw a big drop in yards and touchdowns. Signing with Chicago had fantasy football fans excited about him and the new apparent WR1 role that he’d step into. As the current WR23 on our Gridiron Dynasty Rankings, he’s someone I’m currently looking to sell.
As crazy as it may sounds, I’d almost rather have Anthony Miller in that Bears offense at this point than Robinson. He’s my WR27 while Robinson is my WR25, which is far closer than the consensus WR36 that Miller is in our staff rankings. A good portion of the reasoning is Mitchell Trubisky. While he did step up and show what he’s capable of, I’m not convinced he is the long term answer in Chicago. He reminds me very much of Robinson’s former quarterback I spoke about before, Bortles. While I did like what I saw out of Robinson in 2015, I’m worried that we’ve seen the best of him. I’d sell Robinson in a heartbeat for a few wide receivers who come shortly after him in our consensus rankings, such as Jarvis Landry who I featured in my article on wide receivers to buy or someone like Chris Godwin who comes after those two in our rankings.
Age: 29-years old
The next name on my list of wide receivers to sell before the 2019 season comes around is Alshon Jeffery. It’s been a long time since we’ve seen Jeffery as a fantasy-stud and it hasn’t been since his time in Chicago. In 2013 and 2014, Jeffery saw 140+ targets each season and had his two 1,000+ receiving yard seasons at that time. He hasn’t come anywhere close to that in recent years and definitely not in his time as an Eagle. His 92 targets he saw this year were the fewest he’s seen in his entire seven-year NFL career, outside of his rookie season where he played in just ten games and started in just six. As the current Gridiron Experts Dynasty WR28, I’m convinced that he is well past his time as a fantasy-stud and this is the highest his price will be for the rest of his career.
Jeffery is under contract until 2021 and will become an unrestricted free agent in 2022. Golden Tate is entering free agency and it isn’t looking like he will be back. While this is somewhat good news for Jeffery as far as target share goes, I expect the Eagles to land one of the higher ranked rookie wide receivers with one of their two second-round draft picks. Jeffery has been unable to play an entire season in all but two of his seasons in the NFL, and as a 29-year old, I don’t expect that to change. He’s also dealt with shoulder and knee issues for the majority of his career. I’m looking to move Jeffery for a younger receiver like Anthony Miller or Dante Pettis who are both ranked below him at the moment.
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Age: 24-years old
The last name on this list is the second-year wide receiver in Atlanta, Calvin Ridley. While on paper he did have a very nice rookie campaign, his production is somewhat deceiving as the majority of his production came all at once. Finishing with 824 yards and ten touchdowns is nothing to scoff at from a rookie wide receiver. What makes me hesitant is that six of his ten touchdowns came in three weeks. Ridley finished the season where 13 of 16 weeks he had five receptions or fewer. This leaves just three weeks where he saw a decent number of receptions and just one week where he saw double-digit targets.
As the current WR22 in our Gridiron Experts Dynasty Rankings, his price is far more than what I’d be willing to pay right now. I expect his production to fall off in 2019 as well as I expect Julio Jones to have several elite seasons left in him. I wasn’t as high as most were on Ridley as a prospect and am not sold that he is the heir to Julio Jones like many owners may be thinking. A few wide receivers ranked after him that I’d gladly take ahead of him are Jarvis Landry, Mike Williams, and Chris Godwin. While it can be tough to part with a young wide receiver who showed promise as a rookie, I’m not sold his situation is ideal or that he can sustain the production he put up in 2018.
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