Draft Kings NFL Week 3
For daily fantasy players, the second week to the NFL season turned out to be a topsy-turvy one. When most thought players like Ryan Fitzpatrick or Pat Mahomes would slow down, they sped up. Whatever the case may be, hopefully for your sake, you found a pile of money at the end of the long and winding road that was week 2. If not, fear not because Gridiron Experts is here to help you win big in week 3.
Before anything, don’t forget to read how DraftKings does their scoring.
Too many amateur daily fantasy players see that they have $50,000 budget to fill a roster and like a puzzle, they try to spend as close to that number as possible. That, unfortunately, is not the best way to go about putting your lineup together. Selecting players is like making a big purchase in your personal life. It isn’t always about buying the most expensive item and it also isn’t about spending as little as humanly possible. When spending money it is really about getting the most out of your investment and seeing how far your dollar will take you. That is precisely how you should view your DraftKings lineup.
What is 3x?
Gridiron 3X is an NFL Daily Fantasy strategy where the goal is to build a lineup that scores 150 points or more. The reason why that number is so important is that 150 points is usually the required score to reach the winning side of a tournament. Once you can begin to see players in fantasy point production rather than DraftKings dollars, you can gain a better sense of the required fantasy output the player needs to archive in order for you to reach your 3X goal and win.
Using an example from last season, Alex Smith, the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs at the time, had a Drafts cost of $5,400. Using the Gridiron 3X method, Alex Smith needed to score 16.2 fantasy points (5.4 x 3=16.2) in order to reach his 3X goal. The best tip I can offer you when using this strategy is to see the dollar amount in decimals. If you remember, Alex Smith threw for 368 yards and four touchdowns against the New England Patriots. That hair-raising start would leave Smith with 34.02 points scored and therefore delivering you a fantastic return on your investment.
So now we have the DraftKings scoring, and we have the Gridiron 3X philosophy explained. With details now out of the way, here are some names that can deliver you a great return on your investment in week 3.
Jimmy Garoppolo ($6,500)
On Sunday, the 49ers will go up against the red-hot Pat Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in what will be a defensive bloodbath. On the 49ers side of things, Garoppolo will get a crack at a Chiefs defense that has allowed a league-high 876 passing yards. On top of a favorable matchup, the 49ers signal caller could have a familiar face returning to the huddle as Marquise Goodwin looks to be on track to return from a deep thigh bruise. In the first two weeks of the season, Garoppolo finished 20th or worse in DraftKings scoring among the quarterback position. If there was ever an opponent that could put the 49ers quarterback back in the good graces of daily fantasy players, it’s the Chiefs. In week 3, I see Garoppolo jumping from the bottom half of his position to a top 10 performance. I’m calling for a 300-yard game which of course will add an additional three points to Garoppolo’s day. Whichever quarterback you pick in this game, they will deliver.
Joe Flacco ($5,400)
Throughout the summer months, the only Ravens’ quarterback that people wanted to talk about was Lamar Jackson. After the first two weeks of this season though, Joe Flacco is doing his best to put the Jackson talks to rest. For the first time since 2009, the Ravens veteran has started the first two weeks of his season with five or more touchdown passes. As if that’s not enough, 2018 also marks the first time in Flacco’s career that he’s thrown for over 600 yards in his first two games. Flacco will take that momentum into week 3 as he goes up against a Broncos defense that has allowed over 275 passing yards in each of their first two games. Of the four passing touchdowns that the Broncos have allowed thus far, three of them have been inside the redzone. That gels well with Flacco as four of his five passing scores have also come within the redzone. Given the fact that more than half of his passes this season have come while the Ravens have been trailing, it is reasonable to attribute some of his passing numbers to game scripts. At the same time, as a daily fantasy enthusiast, if the Ravens fall behind again, Flacco could be in line for his third straight game with 20 or more points.
Honorable mentions: Jared Goff vs. the Chargers, Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. the Steelers, Pat Mahomes vs. the 49ers
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Jordan Howard ($6,500)
Understandably, all the talk out of Chicago has been about Khalil Mack and their bruise brothers defense. On the offensive side of the ball though, even a victory against the Seahawks cannot hide the fact that the Bears desperately need to get Jordan Howard more involved. Bears head coach, Matt Nagy echoed those concerns this past Tuesday and I think he follows through in week 3. It could be perfect timing for Howard owners as the Bears prepare to take on a reeling Cardinals defense that has already allowed five touchdowns to the position. If anything, the Cardinals offense may be as big of a help to Howard as their leaky defense. Sam Bradford and the Cardinals couldn’t even cross the fifty yard line till late in their matchup against the Rams. If they have a repeat performance in week 3, it is all but certain that the defense will tire quickly and Howard will have his way. It’s important to point out that Howard has always been a slow starter. The Bears back has had more than 15 carries in 17 of his 33 games played but none of them have ever come in weeks 1 and 2. In the first two years of his career though, he has responded in week 3 with 100-yard rushing performances. So yes, I’m banking on history and the fact that they admitted the need to give Howard more work. You should bank on it too.
Corey Clement ($4,300)
The Eagles skilled positions have taken a pretty big hit over the last few weeks. In regards to the running back position, Darren Sproles is dealing with an ailing hamstring and Jay Ajayi has a back injury that he suffered in the Eagles week 2 loss to the Buccaneers. Both players have missed practice this past Wednesday and their week 3 availability remains in question. Left to pick up the pieces in the Eagles backfield are Corey Clement, Wendell Smallwood, and Josh Adams. Among those players, I love Corey Clement to cash in on his $4,300 price tag. It’s a solid matchup for Clement who will be taking on a Colts team that is allowing the ninth-most points to the position. In his 11 carries this year, Clement is averaging five yards a carry and with Carson Wentz returning, they may very well rely on Clement in an effort to lessen the load on their quarterback. The second-year back hasn’t had a ton of time to shine but given all these variables, he could be in store for the best game of his early career.
Honorable mention: Sony Michel vs. the Lions, Christian McCaffrey vs. the Bengals, James Conner vs. the Buccaneers
Nelson Agholor ($6,100)
As previously alluded to, a slew of injuries has the Philadelphia Eagles defending their crown under fire. The wide receiver depth chart is in shambles as Alshon Jeffery is a few weeks away from returning, and Mack Hollins, as well as Mike Wallace, has been placed on the injured reserve. Emotionally though, the feeling in Philadelphia is one of a reprieve as the franchise quarterback, Carson Wentz is set to make his return against the Indianapolis Colts. In Wentz’s absence this season, Nelson Agholor has represented one of the truest forms of supply and demand. With limited options at Nick Foles disposal, Agholor has had eight receptions in each of his first two games. It was his week 2 performance that has Agholor as a top 20 wide receiver in DraftKings formats. In a loss against the Buccaneers, the former USC Trojan would turn those eight receptions into 88 yards and a touchdown.
In regards to the Eagles opponent, the Colts are currently allowing the seventh fewest points to the wide receiver position. If you look closer at the numbers though, they allowed 92 receiving yards to AJ Green in week 1 and week 2 it was running back Chris Thompson with another 92 receiving yards. This is not an elite defense. Out of gates, Wentz may not pick up where his 2017 MVP campaign left off, but rest assured, when the signal caller drops back to pass, he will be looking Agholor’s way.
Thursday Night Football Contest!
This week, big things are happening over at DraftKings, mainly, a FREE $10,000 Thursday night contest. We’ve teamed up to bring you this huge opportunity and you don’t have to spend a dime to take advantage of it.
Here’s how it works:
- Click any of the links in this article and head on over to the contest
- Draft and submit complete lineup by 8:20 PM Thursday, September 20th
- Watch your players rack up the points Thursday night and compete for cash prizes
Nothing makes a Thursday night matchup a little more interesting than having skin in the game. Will the revamped Cleveland squad have what it takes to beat the kid from Southern California and a surging defense?
Get drafting now and see if you can predict the players that will have the biggest impact on the game.
Eligibility restrictions apply. See website for details.
Will Fuller ($5,900)
In typical fashion, due to a hamstring injury, Will Fuller was unable to play in week 1. Just as typical though, when Fuller played in week 2, he delivered. Against the Tennessee Titans, the third-year receiver out of Notre Dame would dominate as he caught eight of nine targets for 113 yards and a touchdown. That performance would have Fuller finishing week 2 as the sixth highest scoring wide receiver. Next up for the Houston Texans will be a winless Giants team. Currently, the Giants are allowing the third fewest points to the wide receiver position. I would attribute that more to the Jaguars committing to the run and the Cowboys trying to find their way offensively. The Giants secondary won’t have that same luxury and will be tested on Sunday. Since week 5 of last season, four of Fuller’s six touchdowns have gone for 30 yards or more. Lord knows that when folks select Fuller this week they will be thinking about Tavon Austin’s long touchdown in week 2 against the Giants. They have every right to do so. Fuller may not have another eight receptions but he will score a touchdown.
Honorable mention: Tyreek Hill vs. the 49ers, Cooper Kupp vs. the Chargers, Emmanuel Sanders vs. the Ravens
George Kittle ($4,500)
Last week, I had selected George Kittle who ended up with only two receptions for 22 yards. On top of that, it was Garrett Celek and not Kittle who ended up with a touchdown. Despite that performance and despite his price tag being higher this week, I like Kittle to deliver in week 3. The 49ers will be going up against the Kansas City Chiefs who have allowed the second-most points to the position. They are also just one of three teams that have allowed 200 receiving yards or more to the position. In the Chiefs week 2 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, it was Jesse James leading the Steelers with 138 yards and a touchdown. On top of James big performance, as Rotoworld is reporting, it will only help Kittle more that Eric Berry may very well miss another week with a heel injury. It would be a bit ambitious for anyone to believe that Kittle would consistently receive over 10 targets as he did in week 1. That being said though, against this opponent, I love Kittle to score his first touchdown of the season and to deliver a top 5 performance at his position.
Honorable mentions: Jimmy Graham vs. the Redskins, Jesse James vs. the Buccaneers
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Thanks for Reading
Mike is a hardcore fantasy football fan. He has been doing serious writing for a couple of years now and loves finding the next big sleeper that no one is talking about. He also isn’t afraid to go against the grain and predict the next big bust. The fantasy community is as strong as ever and Mike is ready to help you win a title!