Is Terrance Williams For Real?

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Published: October 30, 2013

Terrance Williams Fantasy 2013

Cowboy’s rookie Terrance Williams has been making a lot of noise since his 151 yard output against Denver. Fantasy owners everywhere are wondering if he’ll end up being a legit fantasy weapon, or whether Miles Austin and Jason Witten will jump back into the spotlight and steel his thunder. After spending the 74th overall pick on Williams in round 3 of the 2013 draft, the Cowboys are likely to give him ample opportunities following his hot start.

As the stats show, Terrance Williams was not fantasy relevant at the start of the season. Why? Miles Austin was starting at the time. After Austin went out, Williams had 7 receptions and 71 yards on 8 targets at San Diego. Williams has a great chemistry with Tony Romo and between weeks 4-7 they connected on 19 of 21 targets. That number recently dropped-off in Detroit when 8 targets went incomplete, but it shows how well the two can work together.

After four games in a row with a score, Williams cannot be written off as a fluke. He will not score in every game from here on out, but he’s in a great position to put up fantasy numbers. The main thing working in his favor is what’s not working in Miles Austin’s favor. Austin can’t stay healthy and seems to have a perpetual hamstring injury. With the way Williams is playing, it looks like he’s taken Austin’s gig as Romo’s #2 WR.

Terrance Williams has the skills a QB wants:

  • 6’2 frame
  • 4.52 speed
  • Great route-running ability
  • Good hands
  • Yards after the catch

It seems clear that Terrance Williams is gaining the trust of  Romo. In week 5 against Denver, the Cowboys went up 39-38 on a TD pass to Witten. They decided to go for two and went with a designed back-shoulder pass to their rookie WR. Thanks to Williams, the Cowboys went up 41-38. That’s trust.

You may ask, “What about Dez Bryant? ” Well, Dez can help Williams’ production.

Terrance Williams Stats

Opp. Rec Tgt Yds Avg Lng TD
@DET 2 10 64 32 60 1
DEN 4 4 151 37.8 82 1
@KC 3 3 28 9.3 20 0
@PHI 6 7 71 11.8 25 1
WAS 2 2 27 13.5 15 1
@SD 7 8 71 10.1 14 0
NYG 2 4 32 16 23 0

Look at past examples of two stud WRs sharing a field. Last year, did anyone not want to play Julio Jones or Roddy White due to the others’ presence? The attention Dez will draw should help Williams get better looks. It’s also a big help that Dallas is a pass-first offense and there should be plenty of targets to go around.

Whatever league your in, Williams should be a viable starter. In a fairly standard 12-team 0.5 PPR league, he should be at least a flex and with all the injuries to WRs this year, he can be a realistic WR2.

It does not seem like he’ll be a real PPR weapon, so maybe only consider him a flex in PPR.

Dallas has a few tough games coming up, but due to Romo’s tendency to pass early and often, Terrance Williams is going to remain a valuable target. The good thing about a wide receiver is that their value can go up if their team gets behind. Other than a week 13 home game against the Raiders, it’s unlikely the Cowboys will have big leads in the games remaining on their schedule. This should equal plenty of chances for Williams.

Right now Williams is just inside the top 25 for fantasy WRs and while he’s unlikely to finish in the top 10, he’s got a good chance of finishing top 25, or even top 20. Terrance Williams is a must-own.

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