As we enter the second half of another fantasy football season, identifying valuable assets on your waiver wire becomes increasingly important as you prepare for the playoff stretch drive. Sometimes you might even be tempted to pick players up to block a fellow owner from benefiting. As they say, all is fair in love and war.

The following are some potential fantasy free agents who might help you this week, or during the remainder of the season. Don’t forget about those troublesome bye weeks. Teams off this week include the Lions, Jaguars, Vikings and Panthers. The numbers next to the player’s name represent the percentage of ESPN fantasy leagues in which they are readily available to be picked up off waivers.

Making Palmer an even more intriguing pick up this week is the tasty matchup the Raiders have with the Denver Broncos defense that is dead last in the NFL in fantasy points surrendered to QB’s.

In week 9 the Patriots could see themselves in another high scoring game that could keep the sure handed Faulk on the field for a significant amount of touches. The New York Giants are also only ranked 23rd defending the run and just surrendered the second 100 yard rushing rushing game of Reggie Bush’s career.

The week 9 match-up versus the Texans new defense isn’t ideal, but it is a homecoming for Ogbanaya. He went to school at the nearby University of Texas and played for Houston earlier this season before being released and signed by Cleveland. Perhaps that will serve as a bit of extra motivation for the rookie.

After hitting pay-dirt against the Steelers and Ravens, Doucet and the Cardinals get a break this week as they host the St. Louis Rams 29th ranked fantasy pass defense. He’s got a decent shot to score in his third straight game.

Hines Ward’s status is still in doubt, so Brown could see another game with big target numbers. The Steelers will host a tough Ravens defense, but Baltimore is much easier to beat through the air than on the ground. And that suits the new high flying Steelers offense perfectly.

It gets even better for week 9. The Chicago Bears are dead last in the NFL in terms of surrendering fantasy points to tight ends. This is a great week to grab Celek if you’re not happy with your current starter’s production.

Fantasy Football:

The idea behind the outplay formula is that a team or player could be performing better or worse than we might think, based on the opponents they’ve gone up against.The Outplay has been created for the following for each team:

• Overall Outplay Production- A combination of the teams PPG on offense and defense in comparison to all the opponents they have faced. This is used to help pick winners.
• Offensive Passing Outplay- Compares the amount of a teams passing yards in comparison to the other teams that have faced the same opponents.
• Defensive Passing Outplay- Compares the amount of a teams defensive passing yards allowed in comparison to the other teams that have faced the same opponents.
• Offensive Rushing Outplay- Compares the amount of a teams rushing yards in comparison to the other teams that have faced the same opponents.
• Defensive Rushing Outplay- Compares the amount of a teams defensive rushing yards allowed in comparison to the other teams that have faced the same opponents.

The math behind the formula is a bit confusing, but basically you take a teams points per game average on offense and defense and compare it to all of its opponents offensive and defensive PPG. Lets say, for example, DEN is averaging 21 PPG on offense, and has played 5 teams that are allowing an average of only 14 PPG on defense. That means that offensively, DEN is “outplaying” their opponents by 7 PPG. The same principle is applied to defensive points allowed per game and rushing and passing yards per game.

*The best example I can give you is from week 7 of the 2007 season: Baltimore Ravens (4-2) at Buffalo Bills (1-4)

Baltimore was a 3.5 point favorite, and based on their record many believed that 3.5 points was a steal. Looking back, we now know that Buffalo was a team that made a late season run, while Baltimore fell apart by mid-season. If you looked at BAL’s opponents up until that point it was a walk in the park. BAL had 4 wins from ARZ / STL / SF / NYJ. However, BAL had a shoot-out with ARZ, and could only put up 9 points against the 49er’s in a 9-7 win. Meanwhile, Buffalo had 4 losses to NE / DAL / PIT / DEN. Even though BUF lost these games, they were able to put up decent outplay numbers both offensively and defensively against these tough opponents. Although the schedule could have been different, it was how well each team had performed that the outplay noticed. BAL was struggling against weak teams, and BUF was playing well against strong teams. Due to our outplay formula, we had Buffalo favored by 2 for this week. The final outcome: BUF 19 BAL 14!

****Please Note**** This formula needs 4-5 weeks to be able to build up fair comparisons. The best time to use this system is between weeks 5 and 12. After week 12, other factors such as weather and injuries make this system harder to find upsets. Make sure you make our site your go-to source when needing advice this season.

WEEK 4 OutPlay

Early interesting stats from the 7 match-ups above (BETA VERSION: 4 FULL WEEKS needed for better results)

• Detroit is Outplaying their opponents in the passing department by 44.9 yards per game. Meaning their opponents passing defenses usually give up less.
• The Cowboys excellent rushing defense is better than we think, the Outplay formula says their opponents average 29 yards more than what the Cowboys are willing to give up. Meaning the Cowboys have been able to Outplay opponents on the ground defensively, making Jahvid Best maybe not the best start this week for rushing yards.
• The Bengals Passing Defense has lived up to their stats; they are very accurate to be the type of team that will keep opponents to under 200 yards passing.
• The Bills rushing offense is Outplaying opponents by 43.3 yards per game, although the Bengals look somewhat solid on the ground defensively, giving up only 10 extra yards that they should.
• The 49ers are underachieving in the Rushing and Passing departments. They should be averaging 23 yards more per game on the ground and 85 yards more per game through the air, in comparison to what their opponents have been giving up on average.
• The Eagles passing defense hasn’t had a lot of turnovers, but they are better than we may think, keeping opponents to 48 fewer passing yards than what their opponents are used to gaining on average.
• The Redskins have an average of allowing 240 passing yards per game, but the Outplay shows they are outplaying their opponents because the Giants, Cardinals, and Cowboys have been able to pass for more on average against other opponents. This could mean a quiet day for Sam Bradford.
• The Rams have been torched on the ground, and are worse than what teams are normally averaging. Meaning you should expect higher than normal numbers from the Skins RB’s.
• The Steelers are outplaying passing defenses by 56.3 yards.
• The Falcons are under achieving in the rushing department and are not performing well in the defensive passing category. I’m personally picking the Seahawks as a spoiler this weekend. These stats are very raw and only have 3 weeks of numbers to create averages, but with the Falcons troubles on the road the Seahawks home-field advantage with the 12th man, I’m going to take a shot. Pigskin Picks
• Amazingly the Panthers are outplaying passing defenses by 44.8 yards per game. Jay Cutler and the passing game is under achieving against passing defenses by 50 yards.

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How do I use this to pick games?

Well in the NFL, home-field advantage is a powerful weapon that stats can’t adjust for, so by rule of the thumb you award 3 points to all home teams Overall Outplay Score. Here are the outplays picks for Week 4:

Dallas, Buffalo, Philadelphia, Washington, Houston, Seattle, Chicago, Minnesota, San Diego ( by a hair), Green Bay, New Orleans, Tennessee, Oakland, New York, Baltimore, Tampa Bay.

Fantasy Football:

You’ve found the place for a detailed look at how the fantasy running back situation is evolving on every team. I’ll examine how all 32 starters are performing, which backups are providing threats to their allotment of touches, and how challenging their next matchups will be. Plus, you will receive some advice regarding which RBs should be in your starting lineup.

Starting next week, you will also be supplied with a quick reminder concerning which backs are impacted by the always dreaded bye weeks. But fortunately, we have one more week before concerning ourselves with that. For now, here is comprehensive information that you need, toward helping you maximize your chances of winning in week 4.
Baltimore Ravens: While several RBs who were selected at the top of all drafts have been enormous disappointments, Ray Rice is not among them. He took advantage of a woeful St. Louis defensive unit by generating 162 total yards, including 79 on the ground. His numbers become even more impressive considering that he garnered only 13 touches. He is now ninth in rushing with 229 yards, fifth among RBs with 178 receiving yards, and tied for sixth with 14 catches. It once appeared that Rice would face an imposing challenge when he faced the Jets. However, that unit is suddenly vulnerable, ranking a lowly 31^st in rush defense (136.7 YPG).

Buffalo Bills: Fred Jackson’s assault on opposing run defenders continued against the Patriots, as he amassed 74 yards despite being allotted only 12 attempts. He also collected 87 yards on five receptions, and scored his third TD. He now has rushed for 303 yards this season, which places him fourth among all backs, and his 6.4 YPC remains exceptional. He is also 10th among all backs with 115 receiving yards. The explosive Bills are third in total offense (431 YPG), and will provide Jackson with plenty of opportunities to continue his outstanding production. That includes his week 4 outing against Cincinnati, despite the Bengals’ stingy rush defense (88 YPG).

Cincinnati Bengals: Setting aside the topic of disciplinary issues, a familiar concern has resurfaced with Cedric Benson, whose yardage totals should be higher, given the extensive workload that he has been provided. This has occurred twice in three games this season, after he rushed for 64 yards on 17 attempts. Granted, this was against a stingy 49er rush defense that entered the game allowing a league best 54.5 YPG. But his opening day 4.8 YPC, was followed by an all-too-familiar 3.7 YPC in week 2, and 3.8 versus San Francisco. If a suspension comes to pass, Bernard Scott will inherit an expanded role, although he only gained 10 yards on two carries in week 3. Whoever lines up for Cincinnati faces a favorable matchup against Buffalo (115.7 YPC).

Cleveland Browns: Readers of this column should be gaining awareness of an ongoing mantra: your premier backs should be handcuffed, if you believe that the backup will produce when given the opportunity. So when strep throat prohibited Peyton Hillis from lining up in week 3, Montario Hardesty was elevated into his first career start. Any Hillis owners who had secured Hardesty, had an instant starter against Miami’s 22^nd ranked rush defense. And he delivered satisfactory production, with 86 yards on 17 touches, including 67 on the ground. Even when Hillis returns, expect the Browns to keep Hardesty involved, in order to avoid another late-season fade by Hillis. He should return in week 4, against Tennessee’s formidable rush defense (89 YPG).

Denver Broncos: Knowshon Moreno was active, but his hamstring remained an issue, again thrusting Willis McGahee into the feature back role. HC John Fox already believes that McGahee can handle a significant workload. But while he did deliver his 100-yard rushing performance in week 2, McGahee will normally labor to generate sizable gains, and can no longer consistently move the pile near the goal line. He gained just 52 yards on   22 carries, for an absolutely horrid 2.3 YPC. And while he did score once, he was stuffed repeatedly by the Titans, including a crucial fourth-and-goal that ended Denver’s chances for a win. His 156 yards on 54 carries (2.9 YPC) underscore his ineffectiveness perfectly. All Bronco backs will struggle to gain anything of significance in Green Bay.

Houston Texans: It is nearly impossible to visualize Ben Tate being excluded completely from the offensive game plan, whenever  Arian Foster returns. When last year’s leading rusher was unable to play for the second time this season, Tate generated 82 yards on 19 attempts. While he failed to produce his third consecutive 100-rushing performance, Tate is now fifth in rushing for the season with 301 yards (4.6 YPC), and is tied for the lead with 66 in rushing attempts. He has also been excellent at continuing to run after contact. Owners of both Foster and Tate should monitor Foster’s status, realize that Tate will remain involved regardless, and expect the yardage to be difficult against the Steelers (99.3 YPG).

Indianapolis Colts: Lost within the Colts’ horrendous September has been the production of Joseph Addai, whose 4.8 YPC average is the highest since his 2006 rookie year. Despite having to line up against an aggressive  Pittsburgh defense, Addai generated 86 yards on 17 carries, and scored for the first time this year. Addai now has amassed 189 yards on 39 carries for the season, which is commendable considering Indy’s suddenly abysmal passing attack scares no one. They are ranked a lowly 27^th, averaging just 164 YPG. Addai has now earned consideration as a No.3 back, or low end No. 2, when the Colts travel to Tampa.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Blaine Gabbert’s insertion into the starting lineup did not prohibit Maurice Jones-Drew from gaining significant yardage, as he rushed for 122 yards on 24 attempts. That was MJD’s initial 100+ yard rushing performance this season, which propelled him into third overall for the year with 307 yards. Plus, he has also undertaken an extensive workload, as his 66 attempts are tied for the NFL’s highest. He also generated his best receiving day of the year in Carolina, collecting 45 yards on three receptions. You already are planning on keeping him active, despite a challenging matchup with New Orleans’ ninth ranked rush defense (90.7 YPG).

Kansas City Chiefs: We have now witnessed the first installment of the Chiefs’ offense without Jamaal Charles, and it was not particularly pretty. Thomas Jones was allotted the most touches (15), but could only manufacture 33 yards. 31 of those came on 14 rushing attempts, for an ugly 2.2 YPC. Dexter McCluster actually led the team with 62 yards on 14 touches, including 45 yards on the ground. Le’Ron McClain was not a factor, with two touches, and two yards. McCluster is the best option for owners, although the team’s 31^st ranked passing offense (130.7 YPG) provides no relief for anyone in this stable of RBs. Keep them benched versus Minnesota’s fourth ranked rush defense (67.3 YPG).

Miami Dolphins: If your league awards points for dancing, and running laterally to the line of scrimmage, as defenders swarm the play, then Reggie Bush is a worthy starter in standard leagues. Otherwise, he remains incapable of pushing the ball forward consistently. And the Dolphins appear to be determining that, just as they did in New Orleans. Considering that he only managed 36 total yards on 12 touches, and coughed up several fumbles, Bush is making it easier for the Dolphins to rely heavily on Daniel Thomas. The rookie was allotted 26 touches in just his second game, generating 122 yards, including 95 on the ground (4.1 YPC). Thomas also scored, and can be utilized as a No 3, against the 19th ranked Chargers’ rush defense. Bush (as always) is at most a flex in PPR leagues.

New England Patriots: Even though Patriot RBs only gained 81 yards in Buffalo, there was still a sizable development. The normal rotation of BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead was interrupted, and Stevan Ridley led the team with 44 yards on seven carries. His 6.3 YPC was far more effective than Woodhead’s 3.5 (six attempts for 21 yards), and Green-Ellis’ awful 1.9 (nine carries, 16 yards). Owners were not exactly hoping for more confusion, but Ridley’s presence has clouded an already murky weekly decision. An excellent matchup with Oakland’s 26^th ranked rush defense awaits, but it’s become even more difficult to trust any Patriot back.

New York Jets: The same Oakland rush defense, that had permitted 217 yards to Buffalo in week 2, appeared to be the perfect elixir for Shonn Greene to finally deliver some respectable yardage for his owners. Instead, he failed to take advantage of his opportunity, collecting 59 yards on15 carries. He is now just 26th in rushing with 134 yards (3.3 YPC). LaDainian Tomlinson surprisingly gashed the Raiders for 154 yards, including 116 on five receptions.

Greene’s owners should strongly consider other options until he proves that he can provide better production. The lanes will not be as open for either Jet back versus the Ravens, who are allowing just 84 YPC.

Oakland Raiders: Something had to give when Darren McFadden, who was the second leading rusher in the NFL (222 yards, 5.3 YPC) met the Jets’ rush defense (88 YPG). And it ultimately was Gang Green permitting the most yardage in the Rex Ryan era, as McFadden bolted for a career high 171 yards on 19 attempts. He also scored twice, including a 70-yard second quarter dash. He now has a league leading 393 rushing yards for the season, and is averaging 6.4 YPC. Michael Bush added 57 yards on 10 touches, and scored a one-yard TD. McFadden will now face a New England rush defense, that allows 91.7 YPC.

Pittsburgh Steelers: If ever there was an ultimate recipe for a RB to rebound from two underwhelming performances, it was Rashard Mendenhall lining up against the beleaguered Colts. However, he could only manufacture 37 yards on 18 attempts (an ugly 2.1YPC), which left him with a substandard 148 yards for the year. 22 RBs have run for more, which is a massive disappointment for owners who drafted him to be their No. 1 back. Issac Redman only ran three times (six yards), after garnering 10 attempts in week 2. Mendenhall will again attempt to get untracked against Houston’s 17th ranked rush defense.

San Diego Chargers: There had been evidence that Ryan Mathews was slowly capturing an increasing role at the expense of Mike Tolbert. But Mathews may have seized the No. 1 slot after rumbling for two TDs, and a season high 98 yards on 21 carries, while collecting 51 additional yards on four receptions. Tolbert was extremely uninvolved, running just four times for 19 yards, while garnering three passes for 24 yards. Mathews has 207 rushing yards for the season, and is now third among all backs, with186 receiving yards. His owners can start him with confidence against the Dolphins’ 16th ranked rush defense (104.7 YPG). But Tolbert’s owners should be concerned with the emergence of Mathews, and consider other options.

Tennessee Titans: This is not the time for Chris Johnson’s owners to panic, but extreme concern is more than acceptable. After he ran for just 21yards on 13 carries (1.6 YPC) against the Broncos, CJ2K now has 98 yards for the year, which places him 35th among all backs. Plus, his 2.1 YPC is far below number that he entered the year with (4.9). Owners definitely did not expect Chad Henne and Ricky Williams to have more rushing yards entering week four, when they drafted Johnson with a top five pick. He did collect 54 yards on four receptions, but all fears that he would struggle after his extended holdout have come to pass. Start him against Cleveland, but with low expectations until he displays anything resembling the player he once was.

Photos: Zimbio.com

Fantasy Football:

As you continue to read this column during the regular season, you will become increasingly aware of an ongoing theme. It is the firm belief that if you invested an early first round draft selection on a running back, and his backup is capable of generating productive performances in his own right, then you should protect yourself by making sure that said backup is also on your roster.

Some observers do not subscribe to this theory, and so be it. And if you simply cannot create the roster space without causing yourself an issue, then that is another matter. But any owners who have already suffered the loss of Arian Foster, will probably agree with my assessment. Owners who have left  themselves vulnerable by not adopting this approach, then lost their No. 1 RB, are not going to tell you how happy they were to watch a fellow owner snatch up the coveted backup that was left dangling among free agents. Especially when they could have secured him weeks ago as protection before that emergency actually occurred.

It certainly creates an uncomfortable situation when you desperately want a back that could have been added long ago, but instead, you can now only perform the role of helpless bystander, while an owner who is located ahead of you on this week’s first waiver order captures that same player.

That is the strong suggestion coming from this direction, as we now progress to this week’s breakdown of RBs throughout the league. I will remind you that despite the extensive highs and lows that we all experience as owners, the uncertainty of this game is what keeps us coming back. And is also why we usually need to modify our rosters. This is a resource toward helping you make those moves successfully.

AFC Week 3
Baltimore Ravens: Ray Rice did not come remotely close to replicating his 149 total yard performance of week one, delivering an unexpected letdown with only 43 rushing yards on 13 attempts. However, he did not totally frustrate his owners, salvaging the day with 53 receiving yards, including an eye-catching 31-yard TD. After two weeks, Rice has still justified his lofty draft status, with 245 total yards, which places him 10th among all backs. Rice of course remains a must start against the Rams, and their league worst rush defense (177.5 YPG).

Buffalo Bills: Fred Jackson exploded for 117 yards on only 15 attempts, against an Oakland defense that essentially collapsed in the second half.  His yardage total was assisted greatly by a 34-yard first half scamper, along with a 43-yard TD, which was just one of his two scores. Jackson has now run for 229 yards in two games, which leads the NFL. He also collected 23 receiving yards, giving him 257 total yards for the year. Keep Jackson active when he faces a Patriot unit that allowed him to bolt for 81 yards on only 13 attempts (6.2 YPC) in week 16 of 2010.

Cincinnati Bengals: Cedric Benson had an opportunity to deliver excellent numbers for the second straight week, when he lined up against a Denver rush defense that was gashed for 190 yards just six days earlier. Instead, Ced Ben reverted to customary form, and delivered a disappointing 3.7 YPC, while being limited to 59 yards. While that is perfectly in line with his career average of 3.8, it is unfortunate that he could not take advantage of an outstanding matchup, which made memories of his impressive opening day performance fade immediately. He must now contend with the NFL’s stingiest rush defense, as San Francisco permits just 54.5 YPG.

Cleveland Browns: Among the most appealing encounters for owners in week two was Peyton Hillis’ matchup against a depleted Colts defense. He did not disappoint, rumbling for 94 yards on a whopping 27 attempts, while scoring his first two TDs of the season. He added four catches for 23 yards, which improved his total yardage for the year to 204. After two games, backup Montario Hardesty has just 19 yards on eight attempts, and is simply not a threat to pilfer touches. Hillis should remain in all lineups when the 22nd ranked Dolphins defense visits Cleveland.

Denver Broncos: Some observers contended that Willis McGahee could no longer run effectively, and he did nothing to dispel that assertion in week one. But when Knowshon Moreno became inactive with yet another hamstring issue, McGahee became Denver’s feature back against the Bengals. He made it clear that he can still produce, with his first 100-yard rushing performance since week 17 of the 2009 season. His 28 carries, were also the most since November 2008. Moreno’s health will determine whether McGahee will garner another heavy workload.  Owners of both backs should monitor the situation, and lower expectations when Denver faces Tennessee.

Houston Texans: Arian Foster returned to Houston’s lineup, but it was not an extended stay. His hamstring issue flared up after he had generated 33 yards with his first 10 carries, reducing him to the role of spectator. He then watched Ben Tate produce 100+ rushing yards for the second consecutive game, which vaulted him into third overall with 219 yards for the year. While Tate has earned a permanent spot in the RB rotation, Foster should  remain in the Texans’ No. 1 slot. But the concern is that the hamstring situation will linger for an extended period, resulting in a weekly guessing game regarding if he will play, and for how long. This apprehension is diminished for those who wisely selected Tate during their drafts. If you own him, but don’t also have Foster, you know that the worst case scenario is that he will share touches. If Foster is out, Tate becomes a No. 1, and will flourish against New Orleans.

Indianapolis Colts: Week two of the Kerry Collins era was just marginally better than the disastrous opener, although Joseph Addai managed to produce respectable numbers. He again received the majority of touches (18), gaining 64 yards on 14 attempts, and supplemented them with 37 receiving yards. Delonne Carter had 46 yards on 11 attempts, but was stopped on a crucial 3^rd-and-1 in the second quarter, forcing Indy to settle for a FG. Both backs have been somewhat productive, but Sunday night’s matchup against Pittsburgh is not the time to start  Addai or Carter.

Jacksonville Jaguars: The concept of a reduced workload for Maurice Jones-Drew presents a mixed bag for owners. While he would not be not afforded the usual amount of opportunities to generate yardage, his chances of injury would be reduced. This appeared to be a viable topic, when Deji Kelim pilfered 17 touches in week one. But Kelim only had seven in week two, while MJD had 21. Including 18 rushing attempts with which he manufactured 88 yards. So far in 2011, MJD has averaged 21 APG, which is a perfect match with his number from last year. Another productive day awaits when he faces Carolina.

Kansas City Chiefs: Jamaal Charles’ torn ACL will not cripple owners’ seasons to the degree that it will devastate Kansas City’s, but it is an enormous setback for those who made him a top five draft selection. While the Chiefs will now utilize an amalgamation of Dexter McCluster, and Thomas Jones, Jones is the preferred option for owners who have lost Charles, although only modest numbers should be expected. He ran for 1,100+ yards for five consecutive years (2005-2009), but had only 896 last season while sharing time with Charles. He must now deal with San Diego, who limited him to 40 rushing yards in their two 2010 encounters.

Miami Dolphins: Considering that he appeared fairly unimpressive during the preseason (109 rushing yards, 3.5 YPC), it is significant that Daniel Thomas delivered an excellent NFL debut. He amassed 107 yards on 18 attempts (5.9 YPC), and ran effectively inside against the Texans. He was employed far more than Reggie Bush, who only garnered seven touches for 21 yards. As mentioned previously, Bush is a decent PPR start, but cannot be counted upon in standard leagues. And he absolutely will not be Miami’s feature back. Nor will Thomas, although his promising effort gives owners reason for optimism. Due to the time share, only the desperate should use either back against New England.     

New England Patriots: BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead have already continued last season’s well-established pattern of alternating weeks as the most utilized back. It was BJGE’s turn in week two, as he rushed for 70 yards on 17 attempts, including a 16-yard TD. After garnering 15 touches in week one, Danny Woodhead was allotted just six, resulting in a quiet 27 yards. The closest thing to consistency with this tandem is BJGE’s recurring role as the goal-line back. He has scored twice, and should be the stronger start against Miami. Last season, he averaged 78 yards and scored twice versus the Dolphins.

New York Jets: After gaining 49 yards on 16 attempts against Jacksonville, Shonn Greene has accumulated just 74 rushing yards in two games. That is eerily similar to his poor start last season, when he gained just 106 yards in the first three games (3.5 YPC). That forced the vast majority of owners to sit him, as LaDainian Tomlinson elevated beyond Greene to assume the No. 1 role. However, LT will not be overtaking Greene this season, and owners should remain patient. Expect better return on your investment, when the Jets face an Oakland unit that was just gashed for 217 rushing yards by Buffalo.

Oakland Raiders: Darren McFadden’s explosiveness was on display in Buffalo, as he enhanced his impressive yardage totals. 72 of his 143 total yards were generated with 20 carries, while he averaged nearly 10 YPC with his seven receptions. He also scored on both a five-yard run, and a 12-yard catch. He now has 222 rushing yards for the season, which is second in the NFL. However, his critical third quarter fumble helped reverse the game’s momentum. Michael Bush had just four carries for 23 yards, which included a one-yard TD. RunDMC must remain in all lineups, despite a challenging encounter with the Jets (88 YPG).

Pittsburgh Steelers: In two games, Rashard Mendenhall has accumulated an underwhelming 111 yards (3.6 YPC), after gaining 66 on 19 attempts against Seattle. He did score his first TD of the season, but since he is rarely a factor in Pittsburgh’s passing attack, his production has been light. In fact, he is currently outside the top 20 among all backs, which is regrettable for owners who selected him near the bottom of round one. Expect better production when Mendenhall faces the 29^th ranked Colts rush defense, which has allowed 136.5 YPC, and a whopping four TDs.

San Diego Chargers: Every time it appears that either Ryan Mathews or Mike Tolbert is asserting himself toward becoming the most prominent Charger RB, the other back alters the script. After Tolbert was more productive in week one, Mathews generated the better performance in New England. He combined 64 yards on just 12 carries, with 62 additional yards on seven receptions, while scoring his first TD. Tolbert managed a paltry 10 yards on nine carries (1.1 YPC), but salvaged his day with eight catches for 73 yards. He leads all backs with 17 receptions for the season, and his 131 receiving yards place him third among RBs, just behind Mathews. The duo should be active for their tantalizing matchup with Kansas City. 

Tennessee Titans: Anyone who selected Chris Johnson with an early first-round pick, was fully aware of the risk, due to his extended holdout. But expecting an initial struggle to reach his normal level of statistical excellence is one thing. 77 rushing yards in two games? Not exactly what anyone had in mind. After gaining just 53 yards on 24 attempts, CJ2K is now 32nd in rushing. And his 2.3 YPC is less than half of the 4.9 that he generated during his first three seasons. Worse, backup Javon Ringer actually rumbled 10 yards for the Titans’ lone rushing TD of the game. Owners can only hope that Johnson will break loose against Denver’s 28^th ranked rush defense.

Photos: Zimbio

Fantasy Football:

This is the first of our eight part preview where will will look at each of NFL division’s fantasy football values and sleepers. Rather than give you the same sleepers that you can find everywhere else, we will attempt to dig deep and find someone who is likely to go un-drafted in nearly every fantasy football draft that could contribute. All 2011 ADP rankings courtesy or friends at Myfantasyleague.com.

 Dallas Cowboys

Undervalued: Tony Romo (QB)- Romo was off to a great start last year before a broken clavicle cost him the rest of his season. The Cowboys looked revitalized under the leadership of new head coach Jason Garrett, and even Jon Kitna was able to produce solid fantasy stats down the stretch in 2010. Romo is returning 100% healthy and will be throwing to excellent receivers in Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten.

Tony Romo is commonly considered the last of the “tier 1″ group of top seven fantasy signal-callers this year. Should he stay healthy, he is a good candidate for 3600+ yards and 30 touchdown passes. He is every bit the elite fantasy QB and his ADP of 45.84 means you can get top five quarterbacking statistics for the discounted price of a late fourth or fifth round selection.

Overvalued: Felix Jones (RB)- So this will finally be the year that Felix Jones breaks out? Generally in the NFL, if you’re a great running back, it shows immediately…even if you’re on a poor team. Felix Jones has been in the league a full three season now and has gotten more touches every year. The problem is that is YPC number have declined as he’s gotten more work. Last year he bulked up to win the feature back job and seemed to have lost his elite speed and was still not able to clearly beat out a finished Marion Barber. Jones doesn’t have the frame to be a good inside runner and is likely to be an injury risk as he takes more punishment trying to run between the tackles.

Though Felix Jones ended 2010 well, there will continue to be questions about his ability to be featured until he is able to prove it for a full season. His current ADP of 52.42 means he’s being taken as an RB2 in most leagues. There’s plenty of upside with Jones being the starter for an elite Dallas offense, but there’s also a lot more risk as well. Especially when you consider that Felix has managed to score only four rushing touchdowns in his last 30 games.

Deep Sleeper: Dwayne Harris (WR)- This 2011 6th round pick out of East Carolina has looked really sharp in camp and has shined in the Cowboys’ first two pre-season games. Harris has caught five passes for 127 yards and two scores so far and is a serious contender to be the third wide receiver on opening day. He’s slated to start the crucial third pre-season in place of a banged up Miles Austin, so watch how he does against the opposing first team defense. Harris doesn’t even register on ADP rankings, so if you’re in a deep league, he could be worth a late round grab n’ stash.

 New York Giants

Undervalued: Mario Manningham (WR)- When Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks were hurt last year, Manningham really shined as Eli Manning’s top target. Entering his fourth season, Manningham has gotten more opportunities each year and all of his number have gotten better and better. Now Steve Smith is gone and Manningham is entrenched as the starter opposite of Hakeem Nicks. With 16 starts, there’s little reason to think he can’t surpass 1000 receiving yards and be threat to score 8+ touchdowns.

These aren’t your father’s Giants. New York is now a pass-first offense, and there will be plenty of chances for Manningham. His current ADP of 72.81 is behind much riskier wide-outs like Austin Collie, Kenny Britt and Sidney Rice. For savvy fantasy owners he will produce good WR2 numbers at a WR3 price.

Overvalued: Ahmad Bradshaw (RB)- Bradshaw had an excellent 2010 campaign as he took over the RB1 job from Brandon Jacobs, but you almost get the feeling that the New York Giants see him as expendable. When the lockout ended, they left Bradshaw twisting in the wind and free to sign with any other team before he finally decided to return to The Big Apple. Reports this off-seaon also indicated that Brandon Jacobs is in the best shape of his life and worked out harder than he ever has. Jacobs is expected to reclaim more of a role in the Giants’ backfield and will likely retain his short yardage duties. Despite the fact that Bradshaw has been an effective short yardage back himself, if he’s not given enough opportunities, his touchdown numbers could remain soft.

Ahmad Bradshaw is a good fantasy football running back, especially in a PPR format. His current ADP of 35.98 means that for teams that may select an elite WR and QB early, they could be relying on Ahmad as their #1 running back. Considering that Bradshaw could lose some touches and that the Giants are morphing into an increasingly pass-happy team, fantasy football owners might be better off taking another back with less question marks.

Deep Sleeper: Travis Beckum (TE)- Wait too long to grab your second tight end? Look down that list and snag Beckum. Kevin Boss is gone off to Oakland, and Beckum is expected to take over his role for the Giants. Beckum is an athletic target who spent some time in the slot when Steve Smith was hurt. He caught both of his red zone target last year for touchdowns, and could be good for a few play-action scores in 2011.

 Philadelphia Eagles

Undervalued: Ronnie Brown (RB)- Brown has never lived up to his potential but may have landed in a situation that will allow him to put up some good fantasy stats one last time. He’s by far the biggest running back on the squad, and Brown’s skill-set from being in Miami’s wildcat heavy offense adds some interesting diversity to a club that’s sure to spend plenty of time in the red zone.

Should the under-sized LeSean McCoy miss some time with injuries, Brown could be handed the featured running back role for one of the most powerful offenses in the NFL. At the very least, he should be featured as the Eagles goal line runner, and could line up under center if Andy Reid wants to add more wildcat element into his playbook.

Overvalued: Michael Vick (QB)- Vick’s stunning resurgence will go down as one of the most memorable moments in fantasy football history. He single-handedly delivered thousands of championships to owners lucky enough to have selected him. But the magic may have run out. Vick’s numbers faded down the stretch as defenses figured how how to confuse him by disguising coverages and increasing blitzes. This led to a second half decline in passing numbers and a huge increase in turnovers. He’s also a huge injury risk who has only managed to stay healthy for 16 games one time in his whole career. With an entire off-season to study film defensive coordinators will have more time to prepare and exploit Vick’s weaknesses.

The hype of Vick’s storybook return to the NFL is causing him to be routinely selected as the top signal-caller in many fantasy leagues, even as high as the first overall pick. His ADP of 11.22 is right behind Aaron Rodgers. It’s easy to see the appeal of having such a dynamic thrower and fantastic rusher as your top fantasy choice, but there is way too much risk to snag Vick in the first round. There are many great QB’s that can lead you to fantasy glory, but Vick defines high risk/high reward. If you feel like taking the gamble, be prepared to pay the price of shallow position players, and be sure to grab an adequate back up.

Deep Sleeper: Riley Cooper (WR)- As the NFL’s “Dream Team” is surrounded by hype, it’s difficult to find a true sleeper. Cooper is the biggest receiver in Philadelphia, and started to contribute more down the playoff stretch last season. Andy Reid will undoubtedly be looking to keep defenses on their heels by constantly adding elements to his offense. Cooper could make for a nice red zone target, and may even challenge Jason Avant as Philadelphia’s third wide-out.

 Washington Redskins:

Undervalued: Tim Hightower (RB)- The former Arizona Cardinal’s fantasy draft stock is soaring, but he’s still a great value. Hightower is an excellent fit in Mike Shanahan’s one cut zone blocking scheme and has looked fantastic throughout the entire pre-season. He’s also a good pass-blocker , proven insider runner, and excellent receiver. If you are lucky enough to draft him on your fantasy squad though, watch those fumbles and if the persist, sell high.

Despite the pre-season performance Hightower has shown, his ADP is still a low 121.06. Right now he’s a starting feature back with a very fantasy friendly skill-set, and to be able to acquire that kind of talent in the tenth round of your fantasy football draft is highway robbery.

Overvalued: Chris Cooley (TE)- Cooley has never been much of a touchdown scorer, but there’s even less optimism for 2011. First, He is battling a troublesome knee injury that could certainly have a negative impact on his ability to be ready for week one. Secondly, the Redskins are going to be quarterbacked by either John Beck or Rex Grossman. Finally, Cooley could begin to lose even more playing time to fellow tight end Fred Davis.

With an ADP of 133.27, Cooley is being selected as the 14th tight end so far in 2011. That means he could be a starter for teams in larger leagues or owners that choose to wait until the latter stages of their fantasy drafts to select a tight end. There’s way too many questions marks for Cooley to be selected ahead of Brent Celek, Aaron Hernandez, or a fine sleeper target like Greg Olsen.

Deep Sleeper: Terrence Austin (WR)- Austin barely played as a rookie in 2010, but is making a case for himself to be Washington’s fourth receiver in 2011. So far this pre-season he’s made 10 grabs for 140 yards and a nifty touchdown grab from presumed starting quarterback John Beck. Austin is similar in stature to Santana Moss and has also shown the ability to be a decent deep threat, making catches of 28 and 38 yards downfield. Keep your eye on the Redskins’ depth chart and see if Austin can secure a role with the club.

Fantasy Football:

Jacquizz Rodgers- RB Oregon State- Once thought of as a potential top five runner for this draft, Rodgers saw his draft stock potentially tumble when he run a disappointing 4.64 second 40 yard dash at the NFL Combine. He did, however, perform well at the other Combine drills, showing his patented burst and agility. At Oregon State’s March 11th Pro Day, Rodgers improved his 40 time by running a 4.47.

The diminutive Rodgers (listed at 5′ 6″ and 196 lbs) has shown very good change of pace speed and will be able to hide behind behemoth NFL linemen. His excellent vision and ability to change direction quickly would fit into a variety of NFL offenses. He’s also a solid receiver and has shown some amazing durability and toughness for someone of his size. Rodgers has the ability to also make an impact in the return game.

Quizz’s stature will likely mean that he will never be a three down, featured NFL running back. It may also hamper his ability to be an effective blocker out of the backfield. He is probably best suited in a change of pace role with a team that will use a tandem or committee approach to it’s running game. But in an era where nearly all NFL teams use multiple runners, and smaller backs with speed are excelling like never before, that might be the perfect scenario.

Projected round: 3-4

 NFL comparison: Jahvid Best, Maurice Jones-Drew

Dontay Moch- DE/OLB Nevada- Dontay Moch’s NFL Combine  performance caused him to shoot up draft boards. He showed amazing speed and explosive potential with a position record tying vertical leap, and blazed through a 4.45 40 yard dash- an incredible time for a linebacker.

Moch’s breakout performance at the Combine has him being labeled as the proverbial “workout warrior”. While few question his speed or athleticism, many talent evaluators question Moch’s ability to develop more pass rush moves, coverage skills, and the ability to shed blockers. Some teams may also feel that his elite speed as a pass rusher may force him to move to defensive end, where there are concerns that he could gain the weight necessary to be effective at the next level. With so many questions, he’s drawing comparisons to recent NFL bust Vernon Gholston.

Dontay Moch is a classic case of the draft day wild card. A team that is high on his upside and feels they can help him develop could select him as high as the second round. He could also just as easily slide all the way into the fourth round if teams question whether his athleticism will translate to the NFL.

Projected round: 2-3

NFL comparison: Boss Bailey

Edmund Gates- WR  Abilene Christian- Quick, which wide out had the fastest 40 yard dash time at the NFL Combine? Few people would have guessed that Edmund Gate’s 4.35 would be the correct answer. Gates was a big time producer for the small school Abilene Christian. He put up over 1,100 receiving yards and 13 touchdown grabs and finished his senior season in the top three of most of the Wildcats’ all-time receiving marks.

Along with his blazing speed, Gates has the size (6’0″ 192) to play in the NFL. His solid hands and elusiveness will make him an excellent downfield threat, especially for teams looking to add a deep or vertical passing element to their offense. Gates was originally recruited as a college basketball star, so he could be a candidate for fade and jump-balls in the end zone.

Being a small school player means that Gates will be considered a raw prospect. He will likely need to work on route running, blocking, and could have some difficulties learning an expanded playbook. Though he has a solid set of hands, a lack of concentration at times has led to some untimely drops. Also of note, Gates will be 25 years old in June.

Small school or not, having the top 40 yard dash time at the wide receiver position and having 22 teams send reps out to attend your pro day work out means that NFL teams have taken notice. Gates is often compared to former fellow Wildcat Johnny Knox and could easily sneak into the bottom of the third round.

Projected round: 3-4

NFL comparison: Johnny Knox, Greg Jennings

Marcus Cannon – OG  TCU- Teams looking for a behemoth man to plug into their offensive lines need to look no farther than at TCU’s Marcus Cannon. Cannon (6’5″ 358 lbs.) is a monster who has shown excellent run blocking abilities, versatility, and a mean streak. He’s an ideal fit for any team’s front five.

As a senior in 2010, Cannon played an excellent left tackle for the undefeated Horned Frogs. The previous season he played right tackle and did not allow a sack. He was able to dominate at both tackle spots for one of the top football programs in the NCAA.

Cannon has excellent strength and is a dominate run blocker. He looked good through all the NFL Combine drills and has excellent athleticism for a man of his size. He might be projected to play anywhere on the offensive line, but most scouts feel that he would be ideally suited at right guard.

Considering his massive size, there are concerns that Cannon may have to watch his weight. Also, as is the case for most rookie offensive lineman, he may struggle to adjust to the speed of pass rushers in the NFL level.

Marcus Cannon is rising up  draft boards and has solidified himself as a top ten offensive lineman in the 2011 NFL Draft. Look for him to be selected in the top half of the second round, but don’t be surprised if he goes even earlier.

Projected round: 2

NFL comparison: Leonard Davis

Jalil Brown- CB Colorado- In a draft that is said to have good depth at the cornerback position, Colorado’s Jalil Brown is still flying under the radar. Brown is a big (6’1″ 206 lbs.) corner who really improved his draft stock by running a 4.46 second 40 yard dash at Colorado’s Pro Day.

Brown does a good job of using his size and strength to his advantage by making it difficult for opposing receivers to separate from him in man to man or press coverage. His size also allows him to play with confidence in the run game while his speed allows him to turn and run with most wide outs.

Playing opposite of teammate Jimmy Smith forced most teams to place their top receivers opposite of Brown and he more than lived up to the challenge. He had three interceptions and broke up five other passes and was named by the Big 12 coaches as an Honorable Mention All Big 12 Defensive Team.

Most NFL teams will look to add depth to their secondary this April, and Jalil Brown will make an excellent addition as a potential impact starting cornerback. He could sneak into the top 10 or 12 corners selected and should expect to hear his name called as early as the fourth round.

Projected round: 5

NFL comparison: Brandon Carr

Fantasy Football:

10 Best Bang For Buck NFL Rookies Of 09

If your favorite NFL team is holding a top 10 pick in this year’s draft (or any year for that matter) you know that a blue-chip elite rookie is going to be added to your team. Actually, any player in the first, second or even third round can make an immediate difference in the NFL, one of the reasons why the NFL draft is changing to a 3-day prime time event. Of coarse, as the draft progresses the odds of finding a rookie that can step onto the field in his first year is very unlikely. But every year someone gets overlooked due to being under sized, having poor speed or just strange luck, making these late round gems usually the talk of training camp.

Gridiron Experts has compiled 2009′s best bang for buck players that made a difference in their rookie year. The criteria is not based on potential, as that’s all anyone ever talks about. We are simply giving props to the guys who were expected to hold clipboards but ended up being huge factors on the field.

[10] CB- Captain Munnerlyn (Panthers 7th RD pick)

The Carolina Panthers didn’t get much production out of last years draft class. In fact, their last pick was arguably their best. 216th overall the Carolina Panthers picked a 5’8 190lb DB from South Carolina, I guess they figured if it didn’t work out he wouldn’t have a long trip home. Captain Munnerlyn started 4 games and made plays all season. This late round steal had 44 tackles and a force fumble for a team that some didn’t even think he’d make.

[9] RB- LaRod Stephens-Howling (Cardinals 7th RD pick )

LaRod had two NFL starts and played in all 16 games last year as a special teams stud, making plays all over field, including returning kick for a touchdown. LaRod Stephens-Howling was drafted 240th overall with countless running backs gone before him.

[8] LB- Brad Jones (Packers 7th RD pick)

Truthfully I knew little about this surprise linebacker that was drafted with the Packers last pick. He caught my eye mid-season and to my surprise, learned he went 218th overall. Brad Jones former Colorado LB was a three-year starter in a 3-4 scheme. You’d think having knowledge of a system that most of the NFL runs would up his ranking. Either way, his rookie season was excellent and should grow into a regular in Green Bay’s starting rotation. 26 tck’s 4 sacks

[7] WR- Louis Murphy (Raiders 4th RD pick)

Heyward-Bey who? Louis Murphy has the skills to become a star in this league. This 4th round pick will have to compete with his own numbers from a year ago, as he led the Raiders in receptions, yards and touchdowns last year.

[6] CB- Glover Quin (Texans 4th RD pick)

If you told an NFL coach before day 2 of the draft, there was a rookie DB from New Mexico waiting in the 4th round that could start 12 games, he’d laugh in your face.

The Texans have had excellent draft classes in the last few years, but it’s been the work of scouting late round studs like Quin that has been given them high grades. After seeing Dunta Robinson split for Atlanta this offseason, true fans aren’t as worried knowing if a replacement can’t be found, bang for buck Glover Quin should continue to make plays.

[5] K- Ryan Succop (Chiefs 7th RD pick)

2009′s Mr. Irrelevant couldn’t have done more to shake that insulting nickname. Succop started all 16 games and hit all but one field goal under 49 yards (2 for 5 over 50+ yards, but nobodies perfect) Getting a starting kicker in the NFL with the dead last pick of the draft….not bad.

[4] WR- Julian Edelman (Patriots 7th RD pick)

Edelman has been given the nickname “Mini Welker”, which should stick for another season before he earning a more deserving name. The Patriots are one the NFL’s best teams at evaluating and teaching young players to produce at a high level. Edelman started 7 games and had strong numbers for being on a team with so many targets, but it was his performance in the playoffs that really open people’s eyes. With an off-season of mini-camps and training camp, the 232nd overall pick in last years draft could be a great fill in for Welker’s injury and maybe even a fantasy sleeper next season

[3] SS- Kevin Ellison (Chargers 6th RD pick)

The safety position is last line of defense, making it a high stress intense spot on the defense. Quarterbacks tend to read Safeties more than any other player pre-snap, that’s why we have to give it up for Kevin Ellison of the Chargers. The 6th round is not usually where you look to find starters for this position, but the 189th overall player drafted last year started 9 games and knocked the crap out of more than a couple guys.

[2] WR- Austin Collie (Colts 4th RD Pick)

Sure, Peyton Manning can make anyone look like a superstar, but it’s not as easy as just putting on a Colts jersey. Not many can step in and connect with their QB as fast as Collie did in his rookie season.  Collie had 60 rec, 676 yards and 6 Td’s in the regular season and was also a goto weapon for Manning in the playoffs, including 6 catches in the Super Bowl.

[1] WR- Johnny Knox (Bears 5th RD pick)

Johnny Knox was a lifesaver at times last season. This late round pick had more catches than any other rookie receiver in 09. Knox was forced into the spotlight by default, but regardless of the lack of competition, Johnny Knox was no doubt one of the best bang for buck players of last year.

Fantasy Football:

Shaun Hill San Francisco 49er’s

NFL odds are not pretty for the St. Louis Rams this weekend. The 49er’s had their hearts broken last week by a guy named Brett Favre and will want a little revenge. Shaun Hill is looking for his third straight game against St. Louis with at least 2 touchdown passes in what looks to be a blood bath. The 49er’s are not looked at as a passing team, but when facing an opponent that allows an average of 255 yards per game you can’t overlook the match-up.

Derek Anderson, QB Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals game is one of the few NFL Week 4 match-ups that pits division rivals against each other, and it should be an interesting contest. On one hand, many people want to give the Bengals a lot of credit for toppling the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers over the last few weeks, but it might be premature to start hopping on the Bengals Super Bowl odds.

Derek Anderson will get the nod for Cleveland this week and given his track record against the Bengals, he’s worth a look if you are in dire need of a starting quarterback.

Anderson has played three games against Cincinnati in his career and he has a quarterback rating of 82.9 against the Bengals. Fantasy players will be more interested to know that he has eight touchdown passes in those three contests and has averaged 239 passing yards per game.

Dustin Keller, TE New York Jets

Many a sports betting blog were high on Jets tight end Dustin Keller entering the season, but the results have been mixed. After notching four catches for 94 yards in the first game, Keller has just five catches for 46 yards in the last two weeks.

The Jets are going to be in a shootout this week, no matter how much they try to control the clock and pace of the game. The Saints will score, which means the Jets will have to match them. As the Jets look more to the air, look for Sanchez to rebuild his strong connection this week with Keller for over 50 yards and a touchdown.

Fantasy Football:

We’re entering our fourth week of tough battles. The Monday night game showcases the undefeated Vikings vs. the 2-1 Packers, another match on Sunday highlights the 3-0 Ravens and the 2-1 Patriots, and we could also see supposed Super Bowl contenders like Tennessee drop to 0-4. While the NFL has become increasingly more difficult to predict with the Denver Broncos 3-0 and the Cincinnati Bengals on the verge of being 3-1, thank God we have the fantasy realm to depend on.

Having trouble picking between Aaron Rodgers or Matt Schaub this week? How about Clinton Portis or Cedric Benson? Look no further. Instead of the usual Start/Sit piece, here’s a match-up between two guys, giving you some analysis and the heads-up on the best play in week four.

Aaron Rodgers VS. Matt Schaub

Rodgers is walking into Brett Favre territory, and no folks, he won’t be playing at Lambeau Field. Things have changed, and not necessarily for the better for Rodgers, as his offensive line is in shambles, and Green Bay is still having troubles running the ball.

Yes, Ryan Grant came one yard shy of 100 against the Rams last week, but it took him 26 attempts, and oh yeah, it was against the Rams. Add all that “success” up, along with the Packers sketchy line play, and the Packers offense is no guarantee to be rolling on all cylinders against a Vikings defense that has yet to give up over 90 yards or 250 yards passing to a running back or quarterback.

Oh, and the Packers haven’t been able to stop Cedric Benson or Steven Jackson (at all) the past two weeks. Think they’ll have better luck on the road against Adrian Peterson? Simply put: None of this adds up to a huge day for Rodgers.

Schaub, on the other hand, goes up against an Oakland pass defense that has allowed at least 240 yards passing in two of it’s last three games, while only allowing one passing touchdown per game.

The flip-side? They’re facing a Houston passing offense that is on a roll after being embarrassed by the New York Jets in week one. Matt Schaub has passed for over 300 yards and at least three touchdowns in the past two games, and with a healthy Kevin Walter Houston has an offense completely ready to take Oakland by storm. An excellent passing offense with an improving rush offense going up against a pass defense bordering on elite: something has to break.

Verdict: In the match-up between Schaub and Rodgers, bank on the “breaking” sound being Rodgers’ legs or ribs, as Jared Allen and co. should add to the 12 sacks Green Bay’s line has already allowed through just three weeks.

Clinton Portis VS. Cedric Benson

Both players face awful defenses in week four, as both of their opponents are winless, and also have offenses that won’t be offering their defenses any help. Portis has ankle and other leg issues, along with a predictable offense, nervous coach, and an inconsistent quarterback.

Benson, on the other hand, is leading the way as a power back on an unlikely 2-1 Bengals team that very well could be 3-0, and he just got done putting the finishing touches on a solid outing against a good Pittsburgh defense (at least we thought so). Neither running back “should” have any issues against their week four opponent. But the question is, who makes the better play?

Portis has the better speed, and considering the Buccaneers are starting the fairly untested Josh Johnson, he will be helped out with decent field position (most likely). Benson will get to run the ball on a Cleveland defense that hasn’t stopped the run all season, while the Browns’ offense switches hands from one inept quarterback (Brady Quinn) to another (Derek Anderson).

The difference? Benson has actually topped 100 yards rushing in 2009, and owns a touchdown to his name.

Verdict: While we’d love to give you the same projections everyone gave Portis for his match-up against the Lions last week, we’re going to finally promote Benson to the level he deserves to be at: play him as an RB1, and let Portis prove his worth on your bench.

The Side-Swipe Coin Flip: Know Your Chiefs and Giants

Dwayne Bowe‘s hamstring injury looks like it could linger into week four, making Mark Bradley a safe WR3 play, while also giving Bobby Wade some (very little) extra value. Bradley scored a touchdown last week off of four catches, so if Bowe is out again, he’s as good a fantasy bet as you’ll find for KC going against, you guessed it…

The New York Giants. Keep an eye on their receiver situation, as Hakeem Nicks was back in practice on Wednesday (limited), while their former starter Domenik Hixon was not.

Mario Manningham should still see plenty of action as the number two receiver for Eli Manning, and even if Hicks plays against the Chiefs (he really wants to), he shouldn’t steal enough time away from Manningham to downgrade him from a decent WR3 play. Keep plugging Steve Smith in as a WR2, as well. He’s worth it.

Fantasy Football: