Money Where Your Mouth Is Week 14
Money Where Your Mouth Is Week 14
This a column that puts our expertise to the test, as we show a couple of the bets that we are placing on specific games, or prop bets offered by the many sports books and casinos. Of course we are a fantasy football advisory, but we also take pride in our pick’em pool strategies. Our goal is to help you win pools & money, but if you can’t afford to place bets…don’t!
New Orleans Saints -10
The Saints have been getting tested in recent weeks, but they always come through with a win. Against the spread New Orleans has been very good: 8-4 overall and 4-2 on the road. This week they are 10 point favorites against a team that will most likely be starting a backup quarterback, and who were recently torched by a Philadelphia Eagles squad that was without a few key weapons on offense. The Saints will not stop scoring no matter who they are playing, but the bigger question is: will the defense lock it up in the 4th quarter? Most large spreads have the threat of being wrecked by late comebacks or pity points, but this game is different.
The Saints know that a win for the Falcons could not only revitalize their playoff chances, but could also create a second wind for a team that is in the Saints division. Gridiron Experts likes the Saints to cover on the road this week. The defense just needs to make a couple plays and this one is in the bag; one pick 6 and the game is over.
Philadelphia Eagles +1
This divisional rematch has the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the New York Giants, a place the birds are very familiar with. The Eagles last trip to Giants Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey was a playoff game last year that the Eagles stole in front of a very angry crowd. This year’s first meeting involved an ass kicking over the G-Men where the Eagles jumped out to a 30-7 halftime lead and cruised past the Giants, 40-17 in Philly.
So why the low spread? Home field advantage, key injuries, or just a plain old grudge match? Whatever the case, you shouldn’t run from it, as the Eagles are on a three game winning streak (two of which included road wins), and Donovan McNabb is one of the league’s best quarterbacks in the month of December. Some worry that the winds could affect the Eagles passing attack, but with new weapons emerging like Leonard Weaver, the Birds can move the ball effectively on the ground too. Watch for a closer game with both teams playing it safe in the first half. McNabb and Eli Manning are totally different QB’s, and while Manning has a Super Bowl ring and can throw a perfect ball, McNabb has a laser that cuts through windy games. We expect a couple turnovers by each team, but the Eagles should prevail.
Seattle +6.5
The Seahawks are having another injury plagued season and are just now getting things going. Matt Hasselbeck hasn’t been amazing at quarterback thus far but is a strong leader who players can get behind. The same can’t be said about the Texans or their QB Matt Schaub, as Houston has been stuck trying to shake a losing streak that started with a couple haunting missed field goals. The Texans constantly find ways to blow games and are never good at finishing. After being swept by their division (Indy twice), the Texans are looking like a team that could be cut into pieces next season, starting with the coaching staff.
This game might result in a Texans home win, but with 6 and a half points in your pocket there is an excellent chance you could walk away with a win. Houston is 1-5 against the spread at home this season, an amazing stat that has them tied at the bottom for teams playing in their own backyard. Seattle on the other hand isn’t much better as a road dog, but has faced some elite teams and were a lot more banged up than they are now. We think this game will be a field goal game and you should take the Seahawks with the points.
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Overall: 10-5
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