Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: The Gambler

**This article was originally published in August of 2009. It  included player names from that year that when looking back proved to be a foolproof recipe for a championship team

Fantasy Football

“The Gambler”

One of the first pieces of advice anyone will tell you when joining a Fantasy Football League is that running backs are valuable and should be drafted early and often. On average most fantasy pools have close to 70-75% of the first 3 rounds dedicated to RB’s. Although the real strength of a fantasy team is built in the middle rounds, typically because everyone’s first three picks look fairly similar (RB, RB, QB or WR). Why not corner the market?

This strategy is called The Gambler, and for good reason. This strategy is not for people joining keeper a league, nor people that are conservative in nature, but if you’re patient enough you can dominate the draft board by swimming against the current. The idea behind this draft strategy is to help yourself to the top players of other categories after the first round. Your goal is to build a power attack through the air.

Depending on where you pick in the first round, your goal is to either draft a running back that you have little doubts about or the best wide receiver available. After which your immediate goal is to draft a top quarterback and two wide receivers (one if you took WR in the first round).

This is crazy talk for most Fantasy Football fans, but the fact of the matter is many people over value the running back position after the 1st round. The going consensus is that you need 2 or even 3 excellent RB’s to excel in Fantasy Leagues. =False

If you can corner the market and obtain the top QB and snag a couple elite WR’s, the second running back position can be filled anywhere, from a goal line powerback to a receiving halfback.

Drafting RB’s heavy early on usually leaves other areas of your team light or unequipped, typically because everyone is drafting in waves and around the 4th to 5th round. You see a complete flip in trends as now people address their glaring needs at Wide Receiver and Quarterback, panic sets in and players fly off the board. If you weren’t able to get your hands on a every down RB in the first round, but had a top WR, Drew Brees and then drafted yet another solid starting WR to your team, you would be able to cross off 3 major elements of your line-up. Remember the passing game is so much easier to predict and remains healthier than the Running Back position on average. As the rest of your draft has loaded up on RB’s (which history proves has a statistically high number of duds) now start selecting tier 2 WR’s and QB’s, you will have your pick of a high valued 4th round RB players that could likely be next years must-have 1st round running back studs.

Say what you want about depth at receiver in the league, but when you’re stuck with inconsistent weapons that let you down week after week you’ll wish you had drafted better. Remember there are 32 NFL teams; chances are you are going to get 2 starting Running Backs, and while people kill each other for RB’s early on you can quietly come away with a starting line up that will have little to no line-up guessing week after week. One of the best parts of this strategy is if you are successful in drafting a solid RB and the top Quarterback and two Receivers early on, you can then burn as many late round picks on sleeper running backs as you like, guilt free. Knowing you’re strong at all key positions, as opposed to trying to fill holes late in a pool, is always easier.

**The original article said to shoot for Chris Johnson in the late first round (around where he was going 8-9) draft Drew Bress and load up on the best WR’s.

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6 Responses to “Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: The Gambler”
  1. Bubby Brister says:

    I am in a league with 16 teams. The draft order has yet to be determined. How far down in the first round would I have to be before I start taking a WR in the first round instead of RB? And if I do take a WR in the first round, what round(s) do I go for a RB?

  2. DC says:

    A 16 man league is very difficult to game plan for, The gambler strategy wouldn’t be the best way to go for you as you might get stuck with no second RB due the amount of players in you league. There is going to be a fist fight for running backs, for sure. Sleepers like Brandon Jacobs, Willis McGahee are best friends to a player in this type of pool. Goal Line RB’s can get you points without having to draft them high. A good QB is a important in a 16 man league, I’d make the RB & QB tops on my list

  3. RoMa says:

    after finishing 2nd, 1st, 3rd, 1st in the past 4 years I think I’ll stick to my own strategy. There is always one guy in the league who tries to “corner the market”. In the 10 years of playing fantasy football (usually with two or more leagues), I’ve never seen that guy win once.

  4. Joey Jo Jo says:

    Because goal line backs can still pull their weight while drafted late in a 16 man league, and reliable WR/QBs are hard to come by, about what round should a guy start looking for his 1 QB and WRs?

  5. Donovan mcFabulous says:

    I like this strategy although you can really screw it up if you that first round RB is a bust. i agree with the name of this stratgey “gambler” is right

    good read

  6. RonArtestTableLeg says:

    You can draft 1,000 yard receivers in the 6th, 7th and 8th rounds and get close to that off the waiver wire. I believe i took Vjax in the 7th last year and picked up Lance Moore. I drafted Fitz (2nd) and Megatron (5th) rounds. I’d rather take my chances with Anthony Gonzalez, Torry Holt or Nate Washington as my 2nd or 3rd wide receiver than take my chances with someone like Thomas Jones or Joseph Addai. I’ll stick with the strategy i won with last year.

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