Since the 2011 fantasy season ended, you’ve had a brief period to recharge. Yet many of you already want to start planning your 2012 drafts. This column will deliver the jump start that you need to begin that process.

We will examine TEs that provided the best and worst value for their owners. This will be based upon their numbers, and where they were drafted. We’ll utilize standard scoring of six points per TD, and one point per 10 rushing/receiving yards in a 12-team league.

BEST VALUE

Rob Gronkowski

The fact that Gronkowski delivered extraordinary numbers during the regular season is hardly bulletin material. But his accomplishments become even more remarkable, when you consider that he was still available in the eighth round, before becoming the ninth TE selected… just after Marcedes Lewis. He then proceeded to lead all TEs with 17 TD receptions, which also surpassed the total of all WRs. With the addition of his lone rushing TD, his total of 18 trailed only LeSean McCoy for second overall. He also led his position with 1,327 receiving yards, which was also sixth among all receivers. His 90 receptions were second among TEs, and fifth best overall. He also was easily within the top 20 in scoring in fantasy leagues, and the enormity of his production has helped redefine the value of elite TEs to owners. As a result, be prepared for him to be selected in round two of your next drafts.

Jimmy Graham

Jimmy Graham’s output was nearly the equal of Gronkowski’s, and its impact upon the degree to which fantasy owners will now utilize elite TEs in their draft strategy is enormous. He was originally the sixth TE chosen, with an ADP of 74. He rewarded those who entrusting him with a sixth round selection, by leading all Tight ends with 99 catches, which was also the NFL’s highest total behind only Wes Welker and Calvin Johnson. His 1,310 yards were seventh overall, and second among TEs. His 11 TDs were the fourth highest among all receivers, and 10^th best overall. Without question, Jimmy Graham has vaulted into a tier with Gronkowski, that transcends all others at the position, and he will command at least a third round selection next summer.

Aaron Hernandez

If Hernandez happened to wear a different uniform, his 2011 accomplishments would be discussed even more extensively. Because even though teammate Gronkowski delivered an epic statistical explosion, Hernandez still managed to supply numbers that far exceeded his value. Fantasy owners made Hernandez just an 11^th round pick, as 12 TEs were chosen before him. Yet, he generated the fourth highest yardage total at his position (910), and was tied for fourth with 79 receptions. Plus, he surpassed 100 yards in three games, averaged 65 YPG, and scored seven times. While Gronkowski will collect an enormous number of receptions again next season, Hernandez will produce sufficiently to merit selection as a top five TE.

Tony Gonzalez

Gonzalez assembled a decent 2010 season statistically, generating 70 catches for 656 yards, while scoring six times. But since those were the fewest number of receptions since 2002, and his lowest yardage total since 1998, many fantasy owners feared a continual decline in 2011. As a result, he was the 12^th TE drafted, which was after Marcedes Lewis, Owen Daniels, and Kellen Winslow among others. Gonzalez repaid those who selected him by finishing third among all TEs with 80 receptions. Gonzalez also ranked fifth at his position with 875 yards, while generating seven TDs. Despite his 2011 success, both Roddy White and Julio Jones will commandeer a sizable percentage of targets again in 2012, and their collective presence will make it exceedingly difficult for Gonzalez to match his 2011 numbers.

Dustin Keller

He was not exactly garnering a considerable amount of attention heading into last summers’ drafts, after producing 815 yards on 65 receptions in 2010. And there were undoubtedly games during the 2011 regular season, in which fantasy owners weren’t exactly enamored with Keller’s production. But considering that he was just the 17^th TE selected, he easily exceeded expectations. For the modest price of a 12^th round draft pick, Keller rewarded those who chose him, by finishing sixth at his position with 815 yards, and ranking ninth in receptions with 65, while establishing new career highs in both categories. While it might be difficult for him to place at such a high level again next season, he can be employed as a 10^th round selection, for those who choose not to utilize a lofty pick on their TE.

WORST VALUE

Jermichael Finley

His imposing physical ability, and the prolific nature of Green Bay’s offense, combined to make Finley a tremendously enticing choice on draft day. As a result, he became the second player at his position to be selected, as fantasy owners were willing to utilize a fourth round pick on the fourth-year TE. While he ultimately generated solid production overall, his numbers did not quite attain the level that one would prefer to see after making such a lofty investment. He did establish new highs in TDs (eight) and receiving yards (767), while also tying his career best with 55 catches. However, that reception total placed him just 14^th among all TEs, while his total yardage ranked only 12^th. Plus, three of his TDs were amassed in week 3 against Chicago, while he failed to reach the end zone in 11 other contests. While it is expected that he will return to Green Bay, considering the numerous options that Aaron Rodgers possesses, and the growing number of high quality TEs throughout the league, it is best to draft Finley no higher than the top eight at his position.

Dallas Clark

Although he missed 10 games in 2010 due to a torn ligament in his wrist, he appeared to be an excellent candidate for a massive resurgence in 2011. In fact, it was reasonable to anticipate numbers in the neighborhood of 2009, when he collected double digit TDs for the third time in his career, along with over 800 yards. Therefore, it made complete sense for fantasy owners to utilize a fifth round pick on Clark, which made him the fourth TE selected. However, what ensued was nothing short of disaster. Clark only amassed 352 yards, despite performing in 11 contests, which was just five more than he accumulated in six games during 2010. His two TDs were the fewest since his 2003 rookie year, and his 34 catches placed him 27^th among TEs, and were the least since 2005. His value in 2012 is uncertain as of now, since his status with the Colts, as well as the identity of his QB, is unclear.

Marcedes Lewis

After finishing 2010 tied for the league lead among all TEs with a career best 10 TDs, Lewis appeared capable of performing as a No. 1. He became the eighth TE selected, with an ADP of 94, as Gronkowski, Gonzalez and Hernandez were among those still available. However, despite starting 15 games, his output declined significantly. Lewis ranked a disappointing 21^st in receptions among all TEs with just 39. Plus, his paltry 460 yards also placed him 21^st, and were the fewest since 2008. The worst news for those who drafted him, was that he failed to score for the first time in his six year career. If his 2011 numbers, and the reality that Blaine Gabbert will still be under center, do not provide sufficient reasons to look elsewhere for your next TE, the fact that new HC Mike Mularkey has called Lewis “perhaps the best blocking tight end in the NFL” should.          

Owen Daniels

Despite the fact that Daniels had missed a total of 13 games in 2009-2010, fantasy owners displayed optimism, that he would experience a return to health, and high quality numbers in 2011. That image of an active Daniels collecting numerous passes from Matt Schaub, propelled him into becoming the seventh TE drafted, with an ADP of 74. Ultimately, he did in fact compete in 15 games. However, that makes the modest production that he attained even more disappointing, as he finished just 15th among TEs with both 54 receptions, and 677 receiving yards. While that enabled him to lead the Texans in both categories, his numbers were hardly a satisfactory reward for those who selected him. Even though Schaub was only able to perform in 10 contests, which impacted Daniels’ opportunities, he still, should not be among the top 10 TEs chosen next summer.

Zach Miller

Miller averaged 63 catches, 745 yards, and four TDs in 2009-2010, led the leading the Raiders in every major receiving category, and even garnered his first Pro Bowl selection in 2010. He then spurned a chance to resign with Oakland, in lieu of a more lucrative contract with Seattle. Since serious questions enveloped the QB position with his new team, fantasy owners were aware that his numbers could decline. He became the 14^th TE selected, with an ADP of 130. But that modest investment was still far too hefty, as Miller’s output plummeted sizably with the Seahawks. Even though he participated in 15 games, he ranked a lowly 41^st among all TEs in yardage with 233, and improved just slightly to 37^th in receptions (25). Worse, he failed to find the end zone during the entire season. Unless a radical change occurs at the QB slot, Miller is not worth drafting.

Fantasy Football:

Since the 2011 fantasy football season ended, you’ve had a brief period to recharge. Yet many of you already want to start planning your 2012 drafts. This column will deliver the jump start that you need to begin that process.

We will examine QBs that provided the best and worst value for their owners during the 2011 fantasy season. This will be determined by combining their final numbers, and their average draft position heading into the regular season. We’ll utilize standard scoring of six points per TD, one point per 20 passing yards, and one point per 10 rushing/receiving yards in a 12-team league.

BEST VALUE

Matthew Stafford

No player had the phrase “if he could just stay healthy” attached to his name with more frequency than Stafford entering the 2011 regular season. He had missed a whopping 19 games due to injury in his initial two seasons, which was the primary reason that he was just a seventh round draft pick, after 10 other QBs had been chosen.  But he thoroughly rewarded those who selected him, by remaining in Detroit’s lineup for all 16 games, and leading the NFL with 663 passing attempts. He was one of just three signal callers to exceed 5,000 passing yards (5,038), which surpassed the totals of Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers. He also finished third with 41 TD passes. The fact that Calvin Johnson is his primary option remains an enormous plus, and he should be one of the first five QBs selected in 2012.

Eli Manning

Eli’s career averages of 3,335 yards, 22 TDs, and 16 Ints in seven seasons were respectable enough, but not necessarily exceptional. Which is why fantasy owners made him a seventh round selection, and chose him 13^th among all QBs. However, he became a very sound investment by delivering his best season statistically. First, by establishing a new career high in passing yardage, by narrowly missing 5,000 yards. and finishing fourth among all QB in with 4,933. He also was sixth with 29 TDs, and only tossed 16 Ints, which was a sizable improvement from the 25 that he surrendered in 2010. He has surpassed 4,000 passing yards in three consecutive years, and possesses dynamic weapons at WR, that will help him exceed that number again next season.

Cam Newton

There were concerns about his accuracy. His pocket presence.  Plus, his ability to move through progressions. And that doesn’t even include the “character issues” that were part of the prevailing concerns surrounding Newton before the season began. As a result, he was just an 11^th round selection, as 26 signal callers were chosen before him. Including Kevin Kolb, and Matt Cassel. To say that he proved all doubters wrong would be a massive understatement. He threw for over 4,000 yards (4,051) which ranked him 10^th overall, and he also finished 11th with 21 TD passes. He led all QBs with 706 rushing yards, which also placed him 26^th overall. Probably his most impressive number would be his 14 rushing TDs, which were the NFL’s second highest, trailing only LeSean McCoy. He should be one of the top five QBs selected next summer. Simple as that.

Andy Dalton

He was chosen 25^th among all QBs, as fellow rookies Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert, and Jake Locker were on the list of signal callers who were drafted ahead of him. But he ascended beyond them with his production, while starting all 16 regular season contests, and leading the Bengals to the post-season. Dalton finished 13^th with 20 TD passes, and 16^th with 3,398 yards. He also completed 58% of his passes, while averaging 6.6 YPA. Dalton has the luxury of utilizing A.J. Green as his primary target, and you should see improvement in his numbers and his draft position next season.

Tim Tebow

You may be among those who have passed the point of overload regarding Tebow discussions. But for our purposes, he should be recognized as a productive fantasy QB, whose numbers far exceeded those of a 15^th round draft choice. Yes, his 45.6 completion % is a concern. And 2,180 passing yards, with 12 TDs and six Ints do not compare favorably with the numbers of the NFL’s elite passers. But in 11 starts, Tebow averaged 47.1 YPG as a rusher, ran for at least 50 yards seven times, and exceeded 60 in five contests. His 660 yards placed him 28^th overall for the year, and third among QBs. Plus, six of his rushes resulted in TDs. Let others debate the degree of his skill level, and simply focus on this: if he is allowed the opportunity to start for the Broncos, he will be a steady point producer for your teams.

WORST VALUE

Michael Vick

His amazing renaissance season of 2010 season included a surplus of impressive numbers that were assembled in just 12 games. He passed for over 3,000 yards (3,018) and a career high 21 TDs while throwing just six Ints. Plus, he ran for nine additional scores, while helping many owners to fantasy championships. As a result, he was the second QB selected in the majority of drafts, with a 9.5 ADP. But he failed to replicate those numbers in 2011, as he threw for fewer TDs (18) in 13 contests, while his Ints increased substantially (14).  Worse, he managed just one rushing TD. His output was a massive disappointment for those who invested their critical first round pick on the 11th-year signal caller, and he should slide to the third round of your next drafts.

Josh Freeman

Fantasy owners were sufficiently impressed with Freeman’s 2010 numbers – 25 TDs, 3,451 yards, and just six Ints, to invest in the hope of continual improvement during 2011. He became the 12^th signal caller selected, ahead of Eli Manning, and Cam Newton among others. While he finished 13^th in passing yardage with 3,592, he was just 18th in TD passes, as his total plummeted to 16. And his Ints increased astronomically to 22, which was the NFL’s second highest total. He would benefit greatly by an infusion of talent at WR, but even if that occurs, you should proceed with caution on draft day.       

Kevin Kolb

The Cardinals were convinced that Kolb would thrive in their offensive system, and rewarded him with a $65 million contract. A reasonable percentage of analysts concurred that he would be highly productive, since he was joining an Arizona offense that was conducive to his skills. Plus, he would possess an elite target in (then) four–time Pro Bowler Larry Fitzgerald. Fantasy owners subsequently chose Kolb 16^th among all QBs, in hopes that he would achieve the 20+ TD season that some were projecting. Instead, he was alarmingly ineffective while in the lineup, generating just 1,955 yards, nine TDs, and eight Ints. Toe, foot, and concussion issues also reduced his season to nine games, and he was outperformed by John Skelton. After two consecutive seasons of optimistic forecasts, followed only by an enormous letdown, Kolb should not be among your draft options in 2012.

Sam Bradford

After a commendable rookie season in which he passed for 3,512 yards, and 18 TDs, while connecting on 60% of his passes, many owners believed that he had ascended into a tier that also comprised Eli, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Ben Roethlisberger, and Joe Flacco. Some of them exercised patience, then utilized a seventh round pick to select him, with hopes that he would deliver highly productive numbers. But the 14^th QB selected was a victim of numerous shortcomings that engulfed the Rams, and finished just 27^th with 2,164 passing yards. He also generated only six TDs, while tossing six Ints. Unfortunately, the only category in which he was among the league leaders was in sacks, where he tied for sixth with 36 despite being in the lineup for only 10 games. His numbers should improve next season, although expectations should remain tempered.

Fantasy Football:

Since the 2011 fantasy football season ended, you’ve had a brief period to recharge. Yet many of you already want to start planning your 2012 drafts. This column will deliver the jump start that you need to begin that process.

We will examine WRs that provided the best and worst value for their owners during the 2011 fantasy season. This will be determined by combining their numbers, and their average draft position heading into the regular season. We’ll utilize standard scoring of six points per TD, and one point per 10 rushing/receiving yards in a 12-team league.

The Worst Value section will not include receivers that were lost to injury for an extended period of time during the year, and will instead focus strictly on those who performed throughout the majority of the regular season, but did so in a disappointing fashion. Injuries are certainly unfortunate, but they are expected nonetheless. And it is not necessarily useful for you to read a retrospective about first round draft selection Andre Johnson missing nine contests due to his prolonged issues.

BEST VALUE

Victor Cruz

After an inconsequential 2010 rookie season, in which Cruz only appeared in three games, and failed to even record a stat, he was not included on anyone’s roster immediately following last summer’s drafts. But after he exploded for 110 yards in week three, he instantly became a popular addition. And after he added 259 more yards in the next two contests, Cruz vaulted into must start status, and never suffered a letdown with his output. He eventually finished third with 1,536 receiving yards, fifth with 82 receptions, and tied for fifth among all WRs with nine TDs. His big play ability was further displayed by the fact that he delivered a whopping 25 plays in excess of 20 yards, and nine plays of 40+. That placed him second only to Calvin Johnson in both categories. He will be a highly sought commodity in 2012 drafts.

Steve Smith

He had accumulated over 1,000 yards in five different seasons, and averaged eight TDs from 2005-2009, but his production declined significantly in 2010, when he manufactured only 46 catches, 554 yards and two TDs. That kept him on draft boards until the eighth round, when he became the 34^th WR selected. Mario Manningham, Plaxico Burress, and Austin Collie were just some of the notables who were chosen before him. However, Smith provided his best season since 2008 by exploding for 1,394 yards, which was the NFL’s fifth highest total. He scored on seven of his 79 receptions, and he generated 29 plays of 20+ yards. He should return to the top 10 among all WRs in your drafts next summer.

Jordy Nelson

From 2008-2010, Nelson averaged 33 catches, 422 yards, and two TDs. Those modest numbers kept him available until the 10^th round, when he became the 48^th WR chosen. But he achieved must start status by week 4, led the Packers in every major category, and shattered his previous career bests along the way. His 68 receptions included a whopping 15 TDs, which was second among all WRs. That exceptional number also the third highest number of scoring receptions in Green Bay’s franchise history, He was ninth in receiving yards with 1,263, and will be one of the first 12 WRs drafted next summer.

Antonio Brown

He entered his second season with a grand total of 167 yards and 16 receptions on his resume, which is why he remain undrafted until the 12^th round. Not only was he just the 60^th WR to be chosen, but teammate Hines Ward was among those who were chosen earlier, as were Braylon Edwards, Cecil Shorts and Austin Pettis. But he surpassed his career numbers in week 5, and eventually collected 69 receptions, while amassing 1,108 yards.  He exceeded 85 yards in eight games, and accumulated 18 catches of 20+ yards. While owners would have preferred more scoring (two TDs) that will occur next season. Along with his selection much earlier in your  drafts.

Nate Washington

While his 15^th round selection barely registered a ADP of 186, it was also understandable, considering that he averaged just 32 receptions, 683 yards, and four TDs from 2005-2010. But due in great part to exceptional production in his final seven contests, his production increased substantially, and he became one of the most surprising names on the list of 1,000-yard receivers in 2011. He placed him 16^th among all WRs with 1,023 yards, which was 336 yards more than his previous best. He also established new career highs in receptions (74), and TDs (seven). He also accumulated six catches of 40+ yards, which was the NFL’s sixth highest total.

He won’t remain available nearly as long during your next drafts.

WORST VALUE

Mike Williams

For those of you who drafted him, this paragraph is going to hurt. Williams was the 14^th receiver chosen, which not only resulted in him being selected prior to Cruz, Smith, Nelson, and Brown, but also before Wes Welker, Marques Colston, and Brandon Marshall. That was based upon his stellar 2010, in which he tied for fourth among all WRs in TD receptions (11), and led all rookie WRs with 65 receptions, and 964 yards. But his 2011 production was extremely discouraging, as he finished just 46^th overall in receiving yards (771), and scored just once in his first 10 games, before eventually delivering a paltry three TDs for the year. Fantasy owners will exhibit far more restraint in trusting Williams, or any other Buccaneers from their offensive unit next season.

Santonio Holmes

Extremely disappointing output from the Jets’ captain led many owners to regret their decision to select him early in the fifth round, and 19^th among all WRs. He rewarded their faith by merely tying for 62nd in receptions with just 51, and also in receiving yards (654). While he did score eight times, that was the lone category in which his numbers were satisfactory, as his owners were forced to endure the lowest yardage total of Holmes’ six-year career, and his lowest number of receptions since 2006. His eight catches of 20+ yards were the fewest ever, and he failed to even register a reception of 40+, after entering the year averaging 3.4. He will remain available much longer in your next drafts.

Chad Ochocinco

He had exceeded 1,000 receiving yards in seven different seasons, and it was the belief of many, that a career renaissance would take place when Ochocinco joined the Patriots. Not only was he was drafted ahead of every receiver that is discussed in the Best Value section, but A.J. Green was also selected after Ochocinco, who was the 26^th WR chosen. And the reward for fantasy owners who utilized their sixth round pick? 15 receptions for 276 yards, and one TD. And that lone score did not occur until week 15, which was long after owners had correctly given up on him. Selecting him is a mistake that will not be replicated in 2012.

Austin Collie

In his first two seasons, he generated 1,325 yards on 118 receptions, and scored 15 times. That was sufficient reason for fantasy owners to select Collie 28^th among all WRs, ahead of the same illustrious collection as Ochocinco. But Peyton Manning’s absence impacted Collie’s numbers the most among the Colts’ stable of wideouts. He plunged to just 87^th in receiving yards with 514, and was 56^th with 54 receptions. His only TD of the season occurred in week 17, and without the 96 yards that he accumulated in that finale, his woeful production would have been even worse. He will be a late round selection at best next summer.

Mario Manningham

Manningham is the only WR who missed time due to injury that will be included on this list. He was not sidelined for a lengthy period, as he missed two consecutive games twice during the year. However, it was his disappointing production during the 12 game in which he did participate that frustrated his owners. They had originally drafted him 24^th among all wideouts, based in great part upon the nine TDs, 60 receptions, and 944 yards, that he generated in 2010. But he only amassed 39 catches for 523 yards, which ranked him 99^th and 85^th respectively in those categories. Worse, Cruz vaulted over him on the Giants’ depth chart, relegating Manningham to 3 WR. Do not expect to hear his name until very late in your next drafts.

Fantasy Football:

Fantasy Football RB Rankings Week 16

Congratulations to those of you who are about to compete in your fantasy Super Bowls. Months of research and dedication have paid dividends, and you are now very close to a championship. This column will help with your RB management in this critical week.

Below, you will find comprehensive rankings of the top 40 running backs for this week’s games. Plus, some commentary to assist you with your lineup dilemmas. If you own any of the elite backs that are unquestioned must starts, this column will not reiterate what you already know, with glowing accounts about their explosive ability. You really don’t need reassurance about starting Ray Rice against Cleveland, but you probably have a question about starting Steven Jackson against the Steelers. However, all matchups are important – good or bad – and will not be totally ignored either. But there will be more detail provided about the backs that are most likely to create indecisiveness. And hopefully, you will finish reading this having secured the solutions that you need.

As you consider your matchups, and monitor injuries, weather conditions and other factors, remember that the Texans and Colts are involved in the Thursday night game. Owners should make sure that Arian Foster, Ben Tate, and Donald Brown are safely inserted into their lineups before the early kickoff.

And, there is a full slate of games… 13 to be exact… that will take place on Saturday this week. There are no Sunday afternoon contests. There will be a Sunday night contest between Chicago and Green Bay, and Atlanta will visit New Orleans on Monday Night. Other than those two games, and the Houston vs. Indy matchup that was previously mentioned, all other teams will line up on Saturday.

With that, let’s progress to a detailed look at which running backs you should depend upon, to help maximize the chances of winning your Fantasy Super Bowl Matchup in week 16.

DEFINITE STARTS

Rashard Mendenhall
Fantasy owners will certainly embrace the transition from watching Mendenhall struggle to gain 64 yards against San Francisco’s top ranked rush defense on Monday, to now having the opportunity to line up against the league’s worst. The Rams have been the most hospitable unit to opposing rushers throughout the regular season, allowing 153.4 YPG, and an equally unsightly 4.8 YPC. With Ben Roethlisberger now out, the Steelers will place an even heavier emphasis on their running game. Mendenhall should improve considerably upon his 59.5 YPG, could generate his first 100-yard rushing performance since week 6, and will have an excellent opportunity to score his eighth TD. It’s a gift wrapped matchup, that you absolutely must take advantage of.

Marshawn Lynch
He is being included because the difficult matchup with San Francisco has some owners questioning his status. Normally, this column has advised against starting your RBs against the league’s most forbidding rush defense throughout the season, because it was highly possible that you would be able to find better alternatives for that particular week. But even though the 49ers’ body of work remains cause for concern, are you really comfortable sitting a back who has scored in 10 consecutive games? And has averaged 87 YPG in the process? It is very unlikely that you possess two superior options to Beast Mode currently on your roster. Lynch has helped bring you this far, and should be in your starting lineup.

C.J. Spiller
His week 15 matchup against Miami’s third ranked rush defense certainly appeared daunting. The Dolphins had only permitted 60.6 YPG in their last three contests, and had allowed just five TDs on the year. But Spiller rewarded fantasy owners who displayed the courage to start him, by bolting for 91 yards and a TD despite just 12 attempts. He also collected 76 yards and a second TD, on a team high nine receptions. He has now generated 275 yards on the ground since week 12, (69 YPG), while unmistakably becoming an integral part of Buffalo’s injury depleted offense. Spiller should deliver another productive outing against Denver’s 20th ranked rush defense.

Felix Jones
Those of you who utilized Jones in his first start since week 6, were rewarded with 108 yards against the Buccaneers’ 28th ranked rush defense. He has now accumulated 214 on 38 attempts (5.6 YPG) since being elevated back into the role of Dallas’ primary back. It will be more difficult to shred the 17th ranked Eagles’ rush defense with the same totality that he did against Tampa Bay’s woeful defensive unit. However, if Jones hamstring does not prohibit him from performing, he should once again receive an extensive workload, while backup Sammy Morris garners 10-12 carries as his backup. Just monitor his status leading up to Saturday.

DeAngelo Williams
Throughout much of the season teammate Jonathan Stewart appeared to be a more dynamic runner than Williams and this column repeatedly stated that. But in recent weeks, the situation has gradually reversed. After accumulating 61 on 15 attempts in Houston, Williams has now averaged 64 YPG since week 11. And his 6.2 YPC during that stretch exceeds his season average of 5.1. Concerns do remain. He averages just 10.1 APG, does not normally receive goal line carries, and is not a factor in Carolina’s passing attack. Those issues might n combine to place a cap on what Williams can accomplish for you if you start him. But, he has been running more proficiently in recent weeks, and has scored four TDs in the past three games. That is sufficient reason to employ him against Tampa Bay’s 30th ranked rush defense.

START THEM, BUT…

Chris Johnson
Fantasy owners were hopeful that Johnson would deliver his fourth 130+ yard rushing performance in the past six weeks against the vulnerable Indianapolis rush defense. Instead, they were forced to endure an underwhelming 55 yards, which was the third time that he has failed to reach 60 yards in the past five games. He did supplement his overall production, by collecting a season high 54 receiving yards, which salvaged the day for many of those otherwise disappointed owners. How many yards will he deliver against the Jaguars’ 14th ranked rush defense? It would be very difficult for anyone to predict, based upon his roller coaster season. But the belief here, is that he will provide around 70 yards, but fail to score.

Frank Gore
After exceeding 100 rushing yards in five consecutive games, and accumulating 634 in the process (127 YPG),
He has managed just 337 yards (56 YPG) in six games since. And, the 20 APG that he averaged during his extremely productive stretch, has dwindled to 16.5 since week 10. While Seattle’s 11th ranked rush defense is respectable, the matchup is not the biggest concern for fantasy owners. His workload, and productivity have clearly declined, and although it is perfectly logical for you to start him in view of his ability and earlier accomplishments, you should not expect a monster game statistically.

Steven Jackson
The same concern that has existed for the past five weeks remains for this week’s critical matchup. Due to injuries, and multiple shortcomings within the dreadful St. Louis offense, opposing defenses have the ability to focus sizable resources toward containing Jackson. He has scored just once since week 8, and has averaged only 51.8 YPG since week 10. Now, he must contend with a sixth ranked Pittsburgh rush defense, that will be primed to stop him. Again, Jackson is warrior, and deserves a better fate at this point in his career. There is simply too much for him to overcome, and he cannot deliver exceptional numbers for you.

Ahmad Bradshaw
He began the year by accumulating 440 yards in his first seven games (62.8 YPG), then missed four weeks with his foot injury. Since his return, Bradshaw has hardly been impressive, averaging just 36 YPG. And that would be much lower, had it not been for his 58-yard performance against Washington, which was bolstered by 33 yards on the Giants’ final drive. He will continue to share touches with Brandon Jacobs, which includes the coveted opportunities near the goal line. While he did score in week 15 for the first time since week 6, it occurred with just: 33 remaining in the game. He is worth starting, but only as a low end No. 2 against the Jets’ 16th ranked rush defense.

Donald Brown
For some unfathomable reason, several prominent sites are still not giving Brown credit for his success, in part because he has not captured a full time role. But he has easily surpassed Joseph Addai in terms of workload, and is immensely more productive. Brown has amassed 433 yards and 72.2 YPG in his last six games, compared to Addai’s 98 yards (24.5 YPG), in four games since returning from his hamstring injury. While the fifth ranked Texans’ rush defense will supply a daunting challenge, Brown does provide some big play potential, and will be allotted considerable opportunities. Fantasy owners can utilize him as a high end No. 3 or flex.

BEST WAIVER WIRE ADDITIONS

Kahlil Bell
Are you willing to make an addition to your roster in week 16? If so, Bell is your guy among RBs. He led the Bears in both rushing yards (65) and in receiving yards (43) against Seattle. Plus, he scored on a 25-yard reception, and elevated beyond Marion Barber into the feature back role. Barber carried just 11 times for 33 yards, and perfectly performed the role of spectator in the fourth quarter. Bell will provide versatility for fantasy owners, and should accumulate points as rusher and receiver against Green Bay. Particularly if the Bears ultimately trail by a considerable margin. If you are not enthralled with your current options, he is worth a shot.

Lance Ball
When Willis McGahee departed Denver’s week15 matchup with the Patriots, Ball amassed 105 total yards on just 13 touches. 64 of those yards were generated on the ground, and included a 32-yard scoring burst. Despite a statement from John Fox that McGahee’s absence was not due to injury, the thought here is that it actually was. Which would make it very possible that Ball will split touches with McGahee again in Buffalo. The Bills have been gashed for 591 yards in the past three weeks, which is a whopping 197 YPG. As a result, they have plummeted to 29th in rush defense, and could easily be shredded again. If you are searching for a week 16 spark, Ball is a wise roster addition.

Chris Ivory
He was included in this section last week, but since he is still available in many leagues, he will be discussed again. After gaining 74 yards on 18 attempts against the Vikings, he has now accumulated 127 yards on 31 attempts (4.1 YPC) in two games after reemerging in the Saints’ lineup due to Mark Ingram’s turf toe. His allotment of carries, and his effectiveness, are both consistent. And he can supply points to fantasy owners who are searching for an emergency boost at the flex position. He will line up against an Atlanta rush defense, that has allowed just 96.6 YPG during the season, but has been far more hospitable in the recent weeks.

Fantasy Football:

Making a fantasy football sleeper prediction in the summer or throughout the regular season really doesn’t come with too many consequences. A fantasy guru can simply shrug his shoulders, say “My Bad” and move on with his day. Yet when it comes to the fantasy playoffs, owners have a lot more at stake. After my Thursday night prediction article: RB Workhorses on a Short Week where I was near bang on with the results of Michael Turner and Jones Drew, I figured I’d take the bullet for the team and take a look at some brewing sleepers for this very important upcoming fantasy week.

So what is a playoff sleeper? I’m mean really…it’s week 15. There are no surprises at this point, you know who’s who and are not likely to start someone you haven’t gone with before. Yet, the game-plan for NFL teams is changing based on the standings in the league. Injury concerns for NFL clubs heading into the post-season are a critical decision that could even cost someone a coaching job if they’re not careful. Half-games of the leagues best performers wreck our chances at fantasy victory thanks to the undecided nature of a coaches mindset. Kevin Roberts kicked off our week with a rundown of who may be likely to be rested week 15, but nothing is set in stone until that 4th quarter rolls around.

My Fantasy advice for this week is to start guys that look to play even 3 quarters at the most, don’t over think it. I would much rather have Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees for some of a game than Dan Orlovsky for all four quarters. Remember for teams like Green Bay, that have a shot at greatness, all it takes is a Kansas City spoiler alert for Rodgers to stick around. Fans of fantasy players on teams like Green Bay and New Orleans should almost hope for their opponent to take early leads in the game. I’m guessing if the score was 23-21 in the fourth quarter of the Packers/Chiefs game, Rodgers would stick it out to guarantee the win.

Nevertheless, here are a few Fantasy Playoff sleepers that either have a great match-up or are on teams that could see more opportunities from a starter being rested:

10. WR Demaryius Thomas

Tebow had a favorite target in Eric Decker, but has all of a sudden found new love in throwing to Demaryius Thomas. The 4th quarter miracle is unlikely to happen again against a tough disciplined Patriots group, so Tebow and company will need to keep the game close for all 4 quarters. Denver can’t afford to wait it out in a 10-0 game. The Broncos are aware of the secondary trouble for the Patriots and should be able to only use the read-option offense sporadically on Sunday. Tebow could look more like an NFL quarterback than ever if the play calling is smart. The shotgun formation that features the fake-step-foward dance move after the snap, should bite many defenders into giving up some even softer pass coverage. I expect to see Demaryius Thomas on the receiving end of at least 1 score and around 70 yards.

9. RB Ryan Grant
I have been answering a lot of questions on twitter lately about the possibility that Ryan Grant repeats his stellar performance from last week. It’s likely that the Packers could blow the doors off the Kansas City Chiefs early and use the running game to close it out. It is also possible that Grant sees 12 carries and spoils your week. Personally I would bump him up just a little in our Fantasy RB rankings, he should get you 60-70 yards with a possible TD.

8. WR Pierre Garcon
The Colts are terrible, but Garcon is having a pretty solid season considering. Indy is never leading in a game and will always be throwing. In PPR leagues Garcon is a decent 3rd WR.

7. TE Aaron Hernandez
At what point does a defense devote their entire attention to Rob Gronkowski? I mean, c’mon, the guy is breaking records and is the first look of Tom Brady’s every pass. Defenses should blanket him as much as possible while sending heat in Tom “Anger Management‘s” face. When they do, Hernandez should be a great target to slip into the open. I feel confident that Hernandez sees 60 yards and a Touchdown Sunday.

6. TE Brent Celek
If you were the Jets defensive coaching staff, how would you defend the explosive nature of the Eagles offense? Well if it was me, I would put Maclin on Revis Island, Cromartie on DeSean with safety help over the top, and blitz Mike Vick to force him to roll to his right. To counteract this defensive approach is a quick pass up the seam to a trusted possession target. Celek is your guy, he could crack 100 yards and have 6-7 receptions for you PPR owners.

5. New York Giants Defense
Not much of a sleeper as they are coming off a great win on the road in Dallas. But did you the Redskins are expected to start undrafted rookie Willie Smith at left tackle in Sunday’s game against the Giants? They’ll have Tyler Polumbus at right tackle against a fearsome Giants pass rush. Meanwhile, Jason Pierre-Paul is likely to bolster his Defensive Player of the Year resume on Sunday as he blasts past Willie Smith. Link: Rotoworld

4. WR James Jones
Very high risk start, and I would only recommend him if you hate your fantasy match-ups. The simple logic here is that the depth chart WR’s all take a step up the ladder with Greg Jennings out. Like I said it’s high risk, but he could have a monster game.

3. WR Plaxico Burress
Who knows the Eagles better than a guy who got more boo’s than Terrell Owens in that Stadium. Plaxico was the heartburn that boiled in the bellies of the Eagles faithful for years. He was a constant threat and a player who spoiled many Eagle secondaries. It’s been a while, but he knows and performs well in Philadelphia.

2. QB Andy Dalton
Odd’s are all the remaining fantasy owners are stacked with the very best at the Quarterback position. If you have someone how made it with a rotation of (bums) tier 2-3 players, I suggest checking out our QB Fantasy Rankings.

Dalton should be able to put up 300 yards and a couple scores against the Rams, who are fresh off a butt-kicking on a short week.

1. RB Ben Tate
When will the Texans pull Arian Foster from the game? Even if it resulted in a loss, I’m sure the Houston area wouldn’t care knowing he’d be healthy for the playoffs. With everyone from Mario Williams to Wade Phillips getting hurt on this team, the Texans have defied all odds in 2011. They are truly an elite AFC team, and have turned a franchise corner as a future team to beat. The Texans have just clinched their first trip to the post-season and the fans are going to be losing their minds when that is announced to them this Sunday. The Panthers are about to face a team that is running on pure adrenaline and excitement. It will be loud and crazy (by the way, a must start Fantasy Defense) and this game could get out of reach early. If that is the case, Ben Tate could see a heavy dose of the carries come the second half. In PPR leagues Tate holds extra value as he can be used in screens or dump offs that can add bonus points. I do expect him wanting to prove to the coaches that last weeks goal-line fumble was just a fluke, and that he is worthy of carries in the post season.

Fantasy Football:

QB Fantasy Player Rankings: Week 15

Way to go fantasy owners who have made it into the second round of the playoffs. Your another game closer of basking in the glory of a fantasy league championship, but now the real challenge begins of selecting an elite quarterback to lead the charge in your playoff quest, especially if your in desperate need of a QB this weekend. With the amount of injuries to many starters, it’s a difficult time to be scrambling to get a last minute starter, but have no fear for there are plenty of reliable guys suited for the job.

For those of you who own any of the top fantasy quarterbacks already know how important they are and will need not think twice about starting them, but for those owners who are scrambling at the last minute to pick a gunslinger should consider the quarterbacks list below and carefully consider the options they have. Obviously, they want someone who will deliver a big win, rack up a significant amount of fantasy points, and get you to the championship.

Fantasy owners who started Matt Ryan this week got a real treat as he shined in a game where the Falcons were still fighting to hold onto a wild card spot. Ryan went 19 for 26 for 224 yards and three touchdowns, playing one of his best games of the year. Good choice in starting Ryan, if you did. On the other hand, lets hope fantasy owners avoided the opposing quarterback Blaine Gabbert. If you were smart, you’d have passed on Gabbert a while ago.

Well, let’s take a look at who you should be dependent on this weekend at quarterback to give you a better chance of taking home a W.

Definite Starts

Michael Vick- Philadelphia Eagles
Michael Vick admitted that he wasn’t 100% while playing against Miami the previous week, and didn’t really impress or stand out in his performance, but this week could be a different story. The Eagles and Vick take on the high flying Jets and their aggressive, but sometimes unstable defense and with Vick slowly getting back to form, look for him to have a big passing and running day considering his numbers were pretty low last week.

Andy Dalton- Cincinnati Bengals
This kid has been a great addition to the Bengals, rejuvenating a team that desperately needed a change at quarterback. Andy Dalton has passed for 18 touchdowns and 2,833 yards this season, making him one of the more dynamic rookies to start this year. If it weren’t for Cam Newton, Dalton would have a pretty good shot of wrapping up the rookie of the year award, but nonetheless Dalton has been spectacular and this week looks to keep the Bengals playoff hopes alive by putting up some big numbers on a beat up Rams squad.

Tim Tebow- Denver Broncos
From week to week, Tim Tebow continues to impress and prove the critics wrong. He’s 7-1 as the starter for Denver and looks to improve their winning streak this weekend against the tough New England Patriots. Tebow is always tricky when deciding to start him or not, since most of the time he only shows up for the final quarter, but it might be a good idea to throw him into the starting lineup this week considering he’s taking on the worst ranked pass defense in the league. Tebow is also a running threat, not as of lately since he’s learning to pass more, but still has it in him to take off for the pylons once and a while. The match-up between the Broncos and Patriots will be a great game and look for Tebow, whether or not the Patriots defense bends or breaks, to have a fantastic game.

Start Them But…

Matt Hasselbeck-Tennessee Titans
Matt Hasselbeck was listed as questionable going into the game against the Colts this weekend, but will start, barring any setback. Hasselbeck fully practiced on Friday despite his injured left calf, but is determined to get out onto the field and take the reins to lead the Titans to a wild card spot. Hasselbeck should start based on the fact he’s going up against the worst team in the league, but concerns arise due to his health. If Hasselbeck has any problems whatsoever, in comes Jake Locker (who wouldn’t be bad to have up here either). Nonetheless, be sure you think about starting Hasselbeck and hopefully he won’t suffer any injury if you decide to start him.

Mark Sanchez- New York Jets
Gang Green’s leader has done an adequate job of leading the New York Jets this season and puts up enough numbers for fantasy owners to be satisfied, especially with last week’s 37-10 pounding on the Washington Redskins. Sanchez went 13 for 21 for 181 yards and two touchdowns. This year, Sanchez has tossed 21 touchdowns, has thrown 11 interceptions and is on the verge of eclipsing the 3,000-yard mark. With solid numbers this season Sanchez has done pretty well for himself, but has made some mistakes that have either cost the Jets the game or have come ridiculously close. Sanchez is a good start if you don’t have anyone else, but be wary of Sanchez’s inability to get over the mistakes he makes early in the game.

Rex Grossman- Washington Redskins
Rex Grossman has had an on again off again year with Washington. Last week, he almost made a stellar comeback against the New England Patriots, coming within the final seconds of beating them. Grossman put up 252 passing yards and two touchdowns in the game against the worst ranked pass defense in the league. Look for this week to be no different as Grossman goes up against the 29th ranked pass defense in the New York Giants. Grossman is a solid choice to quarterback this week, but be aware of Grossman’s inability to put the game away if it is close. This is also a division match-up, which is always hard to predict, but also be conscious of the fact that the Giants are pushing to make the playoffs, which means the Redskins could be facing a few problems.

Fantasy Football:

So, how did week 14 treat you? If you played against someone starting Matt Ryan, Maurice Jones-Drew and Rob Gronkowski, I’d bet the farm that it didn’t treat you very well. Now if you were on the glory end of that spirit stick, congratulations, you’re one step closer to looking your buddies in the face and proclaiming your rightful status as “master of the universe.”

Nevertheless, don’t worry – the Gridiron Experts are here to help pave your way to the proverbial fantasy ‘land of Oz’. Maybe there you’ll find the brains to start Tim Tebow, the courage to sit Mike Wallace in place of Antonio Brown or the heart to bench the underachieving Dwayne Bowe (who you so badly want to break out of his shell that is the 2011-2012 season).
“Man, that thing does not like Dwayne.”

Whatever your status heading into week 15, we would like to thank you for allowing the prolific prognosticators here to be your ultimate source of pigskin pick ems and sit ems. Big ups to you, and may you emerge victorious in your league’s playoffs.
And be sure and tell em, “Large Marge sent ya!”
Yes, that was a ‘Pee-Wee’s Big Adventure’ joke. No, we have no shame.

QB Love:

Tim Tebow – the guy just wins. Regardless of the improbability or unexpectedness of his success as the starter in the league, he simply wins. He’s facing a New England pass defense that ranks near the bottom in the league, and that bodes well for Mr. Tebow. The Broncos are on a roll and if they can somehow knock off the mighty Pats, they should without a doubt be the favorites in the AFC West.

Tony Romo – the Cowboys are hungry for a win to stay in the division race. They’ve dropped two in a row and have too much talent going up against a struggling Tampa Bay team to lose a third. I look for Romo to have a big game here.

Matthew Stafford – whether he’s throwing to Calvin Johnson or not, he’s more than capable of finding his second, third, fourth and fifth wide-outs, and finding them with ease. This guy is a young star in the league and has been playing very well this season. Going up against an Oakland pass defense is a good thing as well. Unless I’ve got one of the obvious starters in the league, Stafford is in my starting lineup this week without question. Actually, he could very well be considered one of the obvious starters. We’ll let his play do his talking for him.

Michael Vick – he struggled a bit in his first start back from injury, but that’ll only last so long. Look for him to tear it up this week against the Jets and their over-hyped defense. Vick should have plenty of room to either run or pass for a solid fantasy output.

Sleepers: Joe Flacco, Andy Dalton, Mark Sanchez

QB Hate:

Phillip Rivers – throwing a handful of touchdown passes in his past couple games is nice. It’s what most of the football watching world expected out of this guy for most of the season. But the Ravens are the new ‘purple people eaters’ of the NFL, even without Ray Lewis. Their defense is so solid, I look for Rivers to struggle mightily during this game, especially with Baltimore in the thick of a three team race for the top seed in the conference. Sit him unless you have no choice.

Alex Smith – for similar reasons as Rivers, I’d sit Alex Smith this week. Pittsburgh’s defense is raw and will be gunning for Alex and his receivers all day. Sit him.

Carson Palmer – he’s thrown a ton of picks in his short tenure with Oakland, been dealing with inconsistency in his receiving core and is facing the Lions, who are getting Ndamukong Suh back from his suspension. As long as he can refrain from stomping anyone out in this contest, I’d look for him to be in Palmer’s grill all day long. The Raiders are on a downslide. No reason to risk your chances at a championship by starting this shaky QB this week.

RB Love:

Marshawn Lynch – who doesn’t run well after eating Skittles? I know I do. Marshawn Lynch certainly does. All this guy does is gain yards after initial contact. His legs are beast mode, his work ethic is beast mode and his team is on a roll. Regardless of the matchup, I’m starting Lynch until he proves unworthy of such a role. He’s yet to do that, so start him every week until he does. Beast mode, engaged.

Ryan Matthews – he’s been running like his fantasy owners have been hoping he would have for some time now. Granted he’s facing the Ravens ferocious defense, but the Chargers are playing with playoff hopes still intact. They have a few bright spots on their offense, and their running game hasn’t necessarily been one of them, but even against the mighty Baltimore D, I’d look for one of the Chargers bright spots to shine this week. Ryan Matthews could very well be that bright spot with Phillip Rivers taking a lot of heat.

Michael Bush – similar to Ryan Matthews, he’s facing a defense that will be gunning for his quarterback. Look for the Raiders’ run game to open things up this week with Carson Palmer taking a lot of heat. Bush will have ample opportunities to run wild in this one. I’m starting him this week.

Shonn Greene – he’s put up nearly 60 fantasy points in the past two weeks and is playing against an Eagle team that hasn’t been very good at stopping the run as of late. There’s no telling which Sanchez will show up, so the Jets may need to lean on the recent production that Greene has given them and hope for more of the same this week. He probably won’t put up outstanding fantasy numbers forever, but I look for him to have at least one more high scoring week coming up. This should be the week.

Chris Johnson – he’s back from his slumber. Start him while he’s hot. Nuff said.

Reggie Bush – Buffalo gives up a lot of yards on the ground, and Reggie has been running like the back he used to be. Perhaps that means he’s still that back? Regardless, I’m taking advantage of his recent surge and starting him in what appears to be a favorable matchup.

Sleepers: Willis McGahee, Ahmad Bradshaw, Darren Sproles, Steven Jackson

RB Hate:

Rashard Mendenhall – the 49ers just don’t give up anything on the ground. The trend will continue this week with Mendenhall getting smashed all day. Good luck Rashard.

Jonathan Stewart – Houston’s run defense is the real deal. They’ve secured their first playoff berth in team history and have no reason to shut down their run stoppers now. Stewart has been mediocre at best this year, and going up against this matchup, more of the same is sure to materialize.

Ryan Grant – sure he had a great fantasy game last week, but that’s nothing more than a fluke. Green Bay is a passing team as long as they have Aaron Rodgers throwing the ball. Even without Greg Jennings in the lineup, Rodgers has plenty of other weapons he can (and will) go to for points through the air. Once the score is racked up and the starters take a rest, Grant will surely be affected by that strategy. He won’t duplicate his performance from last week.

WR Love:

Hakeem Nicks/Victor Cruz – this tandem has become so dangerous, opposing defenses can no longer afford to post up on either one of them individually. Both guys are constant threats to make big plays and should be started without question. If you have both guys on your roster, I’d even consider starting them together.

A.J. Green – not just a matchup based love goes out to Green this week, he’s also a great receiver. But yes, the Rams do give up a lot of points to opposing wide-outs. Green is a sure start for this week.

Antonio Brown – no longer hiding behind the shadow of Mike Wallace (who is still a number one receiver and must start in any league on any team), Brown has made a legitimate case to be a number one receiver himself. The guy can quite simply make plays. He’s proven it for weeks now and will be a dilemma if you own Wallace as well as Brown. My heart tells me to start Wallace over Brown, but my gut is kind of confused. Either way, Brown is a great start, especially against San Fransisco. Their pass D is the one spot they can be challenged. With Wallace still drawing double coverage, look for Brown to go off.

Marques Colston – not only is Minnesota’s pass defense awful, not only is he the best receiver on the Saints team, not only is Drew Brees ridiculous, but most importantly we say you should start him. Now how can you argue with that?

Sleepers: Dwayne Bowe, Torrey Smith, DeSean Jackson, Doug Baldwin

WR Hate:

Pierre Garcon – Tennessee has a pretty good pass defensive scheme and to top it off, Peyton Manning isn’t throwing to him. The Colts are horrible and cannot be trusted to put up any kind of points for your fantasy team. Unless you have absolutely no other choice, go ahead and start him, but when he puts up low numbers, don’t come crying to us. Well you can cry to us, but we will be likely to point and laugh.

Jabar Gaffney – I know the Giants give up a lot of receiving touchdowns. A whole freakin lot actually, but look at their recent matchups: Romo and the Cowboys, Rodgers and the Pack and Brees and the Saints. No wonder they’re giving up a ton of points. BUT, they are in a race to the finish for first place in the division and are going up against the Redskins this week. Rex Grossman is hardly on the level with any of those other stud QB’s, and will likely struggle to find his identity again this week. Gaffney will suffer as a result.

Anquan Boldin – he has struggled this year and is still enough of a threat to draw plenty of attention from opposing defenses. Torrey Smith has emerged as a more realistic threat due to this attention. With Ray Rice running the ball, Boldin has seen his numbers drop off significantly. I expect a low scoring fantasy output from Anquan this week.

TE Love:

Antonio Gates – look for the Chargers to play the small ball game against the Ravens to add a little confusion. I don’t expect Rivers to have a great game downfield, but if he can find Matthews on a few screen passes, and Gates on some short yardage routes that could very well be the key for S.D. to have success against Baltimore. Gates has been looking better and better each week. Despite the matchup, I like Gates this week.

Jake Ballard – playing at home against the Skins is just what the doctor ordered if you’re Jake Ballard. It’s about as favorable of a matchup as he’s going to see for the rest of the year, so if there’s a week to start him, it’s this week. With Nicks and Cruz drawing lots of attention, look for Eli to throw some more balls in Ballard’s direction.

Brandon Pettigrew – he should see plenty of looks with Calvin Johnson drawing lots of double coverage. Detroit’s run game is bruised and uncertain, so look for Stafford to bump up Pettigrew in the ‘receivers to look for’ category.

Owen Daniels – Arian Foster could see less work with Houston clinching a playoff spot, and with an unproven quarterback at the helm, I’d look for Daniels to be targeted more than usual. He should have a decent game this week.

Sleepers: Aaron Hernandez, Dustin Keller, Vernon Davis, Visanthe Shiancoe

TE Hate:

Heath Miller – this is an unfavorable matchup for Miller playing against San Fransisco. With Brown and Wallace becoming so threatening in Pittsburgh’s offense, Miller has seen a drop off in his productivity. He has just two touchdowns all season and hasn’t put up a 10+ point game since week 7.

Jermaine Gresham – I look for Andy Dalton to go downfield this week, particularly to A.J. Green. Gresham isn’t a bad tight end, but the Rams do have one bright spot in their defense and that’s against tight ends. Between Cedric Benson and A.J. Green taking over most of the scoring responsibilities this week, I expect Gresham to have a quiet game.

Anthony Fasano – he’s actually been fairly reliable at the tight end position this year and had a few good games, but with a new coach coming in to call plays, there’s no telling how much of a role Anthony will play. I don’t like this start unless I’m tapped out on options. Not to mention he’s a little banged up. Sit him.

D/ST Love: Eagles, Packers, Bengals, Cowboys, Titans

D/ST Hate: Broncos, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers

So take it from us, we know how important your lineup choices are in week 15. We get it, you just lost Demarco Murray and you’re pissed, it’s okay, we feel your pain. Sure, Aaron Rodgers didn’t score you 517 points last week and you only lost your game by a hair and you’re upset. It’s understandable.

But hey, at the end of the day this is still the sport that is slowly becoming America’s new favorite pastime. Baseball is cool, we’ve got nothing but love for those guys. But this is football, damnit! This is a gut busting, head crushing, finger smashing, helmet cracking, quarterback hunting, bone-breaking, tooth shattering game of modern day barbarians out for the blood of those who dare to oppose, and we love it.

Yes sir, win or lose your league, this game is here to stay. If that’s not reason enough to smile, I don’t know what is.

Thank God for football.

Commence Tebowing.

Fantasy Football:

Congratulations to those of you who have qualified for the fantasy playoffs, or have already moved beyond the first round. Months of research and dedication have paid dividends, and you should enjoy your accomplishment, while you continue to diligently manage your team.

If you own any of the elite backs that are unquestioned must starts, this column will not reiterate what you already know, with glowing accounts regarding their explosive ability. You really don’t need reassurance about starting Arian Foster against Carolina, but you might have a question about starting Rashard Mendenhall against the 49ers. However, all matchups are important – good or bad – and will not be totally ignored either. Still, there will be more detail provided about the backs that are most likely to create indecisiveness. And hopefully, you will finish reading this having secured the solutions that you need.

Below, you will find comprehensive fantasy rankings of the top 40 running backs for this week’s games. Plus, some commentary to assist you with your lineup dilemmas. As of this writing, Adrian Peterson’s status is still in question. He is being ranked as if he will be lining up as a starter for Minnesota against the Saints. If he is ultimately forced to miss that contest, Toby Gerhart would vault into the top 25, and become a viable No. 2.

As you consider your matchups, and monitor injuries, weather conditions and other factors, remember that the Jaguars and Falcons are involved in the Thursday night game. Owners should make sure that Maurice Jones-Drew and Michael Turner, are safely inserted into their lineups before the early kickoff.

With that, let’s progress to a detailed look at which running backs you should depend upon, to help maximize the chances of winning your fantasy matchups in week 15.

DEFINITE STARTS

Cedric Benson
Until week 14, Benson had exhibited that he was ineffective against formidable defenses. And even though he revised that script somewhat by manufacturing 91 yards against Houston’s normally stingy run defenders, 42 of those occurred on one play. But he has displayed great consistency, with his track record of success versus hospitable rush defenses. In two games against Cleveland, Benson averaged 114 YPG and scored twice. And he also generated 104 yards versus Buffalo. It really has become tremendously simple to determine which games that he should be in your lineups, and this is the perfect time. The Rams have fielded the league’s worst rush defense throughout the regular season, and anyone who starts Benson will collect a sizable number of fantasy points.

Reggie Bush
Bush continues to be a very proficient feature back for Miami, and a consistent point producer for fantasy owners. Two of his three 100-yard rushing performances have taken place in the past two weeks. And since week 7, he has rushed for 538 yards (77 YPG), and scored five TDs. He has also established a new career high with 770 yards, and should rip Buffalo’s 25th ranked rush defense on Sunday. The Bills have allowed a whopping 158.3 YPG in their past three games, missed being included with the Best Matchups that are listed above.

Shonn Greene
The Jets have maintained their commitment to the running game, and toward employing Greene as their primary back. He has captured 20+ carries in five different games, including the 24 that he garnered against Kansas City. Greene will be allowed sufficient opportunities to pound the same Eagle defense that withered at the challenge of tackling Marshawn Lynch in week 13, and yielded 103 yards to Bush last Sunday. He will enter the game with sizable momentum, having established a new season highs in rushing yards (129) and total yards (187) in week 14. Plus, four of his six TDs just occurred in the past two games, and he could easily provide another score in this matchup.

Chris Johnson
So now what should Johnson’s owners do? He had generated 486 yards and three TDs in the four games heading into week 14, then proceeded to deliver just 23 yards on 11 attempts against New Orleans. While it was the fifth time that he has failed to reach 25 yards this season, it was also just the second time since week 7. While his production has been highly unpredictable, it is not recommended that you bench him during his enticing rematch with the Colts’ 30th ranked run defenders. Indianapolis has allowed the second highest number of rushing TDs (18), and even though they held Johnson to 34 yards in week 8, it is highly doubtful that he will be contained again.

START THEM, BUT…

Steven Jackson
Even though you invested a high draft selection in Jackson, you should examine his recent production closely while considering your options. His 139 YPG in weeks 8-10 is a distant memory, as he has averaged just 47 YPG in his last four games. His TD against Seattle, was the first since week 8, and came after an extremely disturbingly series of plays near the goal line. The Rams attempted multiple passes, and also employed Cadillac Williams, before finally entrusting Jackson. While he did collect 60 receiving yards, that was easily his season high, and is not something that you can rely on. He is a victim of the Rams’ multiple deficiencies on offense, as opposing defenses can focus their attention on containing him, until a large deficit forces St. Louis to pass. The same scenario could easily occur against Cincinnati’s seventh ranked rush defense.

LeGarrette Blount
Blount rebounded from his paltry 19-yard rushing performance in week 13, to register 74 yards in week 14. While he also scored his fifth TD of the season, he did fumble twice. But despite the blend of encouraging and unfavorable developments, neither Mossis Madu nor Kregg Lumpkin represent a legitimate threat to his workload. However, a huge deficit certainly would, and it is highly possible that the Buccaneers will find themselves trailing Dallas by a considerable margin. That would not bode well for Blount, who has exceeded two receptions in only one game this season, and is jettisoned to the sidelines on passing downs with far too much frequency. It is also doubtful that he will amass significant yardage against the NFL’s eighth ranked rush defense.

Jonathan Stewart
The weekly guessing game involving how often Stewart and teammate DeAngelo Williams will be utilized continues to create a massive challenge for fantasy owners. Stewart was allotted 12 touches against the Falcons in week 14, compared to the eight that were garnered by Williams. But, Stewart failed miserably to take advantage of his opportunities, managing just rushing 29 yards. Worse, he dropped multiple passes, and only collected 27 receiving yards. Since he has been held to less than 50 rushing yards in eight different games, and is facing the fourth ranked Texans’ rush defense, the only reason to start him, is if you believe that he will generate a sufficient number of yardage as a target for Cam Newton.

BEST WAIVER WIRE ADDITIONS

Felix Jones
After DeMarco Murray departed Dallas’ week 14 contest with a broken ankle, Jones amassed 106 yards on attempts. It was just the second time that he has surpassed 100 yards this season, and the first time since week 3. But with Murray now unavailable, there is no question that Jones will now be the Cowboys’ feature back, and will capture a significant workload because of it. And that will occur just in time for an exceptional matchup with Tampa Bay’s 28th ranked rush defense. Not only are the Buccaneers allowing 160.3 YPG in their past three games, but they have been gashed for a league worst 19 TDs. Jones should add his name to the assortment of backs who have tortured this unit. Secure him for your roster, and watch him reward you with fantasy points.

Ryan Grant
He is only being listed here because your alternative waiver wire options are almost assuredly meager at best. Anyone who peruses the statistics, and did not witness his 85-yard, two TD performance against the Raiders might believe that he has suddenly rediscovered his burst. He has not. But, he did an excellent job of exploiting poor tackling, and an undisciplined style that Oakland delivered in week 14. If the Chiefs display the same combination of faulty rush defense on Sunday, then Grant could supply you with adequate numbers. But only if Starks is unavailable once again.

Chris Ivory
His value is completely dependent upon Mark Ingram’s status, just as has been the case throughout the season. Ivory has participated in just three games, and they have been the only contests in which Ingram has been sidelined. While he only carried six times for 18 yards in his week 8 season debut, Ivory was allotted 14 APG in the last two, and averaged 60 YPG. It is reasonable to believe that his workload and production would be consistent with those more recent numbers, if Ingram is forced to miss Sunday’s matchup with Minnesota. While the ninth ranked Viking rush defense is formidable, an active Ivory could still be utilized by fantasy owners who are in need of an emergency replacement.

AVOID IF YOU CAN

Rashard Mendenhall
Yes, I know… you exercised patience during his weeks of low productivity, then he began to deliver, and helped get you this far into the playoffs. But even though his output has improved in recent weeks, he has exceeded 70 yards just twice all season, and one of those just occurred against the pitiful Browns. This week, he is attempting to navigate through the league’s premier rush defense. The Niners have not allowed any runner to reach 100 yards in their last 28 games, and still have yet to permit a TD this season. There is simply too much risk in relying on Mendenhall to somehow find success against a unit that has contained every other rusher throughout the season. You need to look elsewhere for your RBs this week.

Ahmad Bradshaw
Those of you who started Ahmad Bradshaw in week 14, first had to endure the shock of learning that he would begin the game as a spectator for disciplinary reasons, then watched in horror as he produced a season low 12 yards. If you managed to survived his dreadful night, congratulations. But even though it’s unlikely that his playing time will once again be reduced for punitive purposes, there is another reason for concern. Brandon Jacobs was far more impressive than Bradshaw in Dallas, thrashing the Cowboys for 101 yards and two TDs. He will pilfer a sizable percentage of carries against the Redskins, because Bradshaw has not run effectively since returning from his foot injury. Make him prove that he can, before you use him.

Peyton Hillis
Since his long awaited return in week 12, Hillis’ workload has steadily decreased from 19 carries to 12, to only 10 against the Steelers. And his yardage totals have responded correspondingly, from 65, to 45, to 25. Not exactly the direction that fantasy owners would prefer to see, heading into Sunday’s matchup with a steadily improving Arizona rush defense. The Cardinals were just 26th against the run through seven weeks, but have since improved to 19th, while allowing just 83.6 YPG in the last three games. The combination of Hillis’ propensity for injuries, the potential for Montario Hardesty and Chris Ogbonnaya to steal carries, and a suddenly stingy opponent; should provide a sufficient number of reasons to stay away.

DO NOT START

C. J. Spiller
He had performed increasingly well entering week 14, amassing 138 yards on 33 attempts in his previous two games. But he could only assemble 46 yards against the Chargers, who had been permitting 131.7 YPG entering the contest. He did only receive 12 carries, as the Bills eventually trailed by a considerable margin. But he will be lining up against a far more formidable opponent this Sunday, and will ultimately struggle. No rush defense has been stingier than Miami in recent weeks, and the third ranked run stuffers have allowed just five TDs all season. He does not figure to generate much success as a target for Matt Moore or J.P. Losman either. This is simply not a good week to rely on Spiller.

DeAngelo Williams
Williams has generated 85+ rushing yards in two different games this season, including the 87 that he amassed against Atlanta. But in both contests, his total was achieved because he exploded for one lengthy run. In week 5, it was a 69-yard burst, while he delivered a 74-yard scamper versus the Falcons. That is the only way in which he can assemble a reasonable yardage total, because he is allotted a meager workload (9.7 APG). When you combine his limited potential for significant yardage, with the fact that he is losing goal line touches to both Stewart and Newton, it is clear that you should search elsewhere.

Fantasy Football:

This is it. The postseason for fantasy football has arrived and now is when your expertise as a decision-maker will be key. You’ve gotten into the playoffs and need a killer line-up if you wish to advance and win it all. This time around, mistakes cannot be made and you must give yourself the best chance of winning because your season, and in some cases, your money is on the line.

Heading into Week 14, here is a list of the fantasy quarterbacks in order of who should be your starting QB. Good luck to those of you who have made it into the postseason. May you choose wisely considering quarterbacks can either make or break a game for you?

1. Aaron Rodgers- vs. Oakland Raiders
Aaron Rodgers is having the best season of his career this year. He has passed for thirty-seven touchdowns, thrown only five interceptions and is closing in on the 4,000-yard mark for the season. In every game, Rodgers has passed at least two touchdown passes and thrives in pressure situations. This week, it should be no different considering Rodgers is going up against a Raiders team whose struggles over the last few weeks have them hanging on for dear life in the playoff hunt, not to mention a defense that has allotted too many passing touchdowns. No one has moves like Rodgers.

2. Tom Brady- vs. Washington Redskins
There is no question that Tom Brady should be near the top of the list. He’s versatile, accurate, and dangerous. With thirty touchdowns, closing in on the 4,000-yard mark for the season, Brady goes up against a Washington squad who has failed to perform this year. Brady has always been a sure start because he rarely has a bad game, but this week; look for Brady to put up some big numbers especially to his main man Rob Gronkowski.

3. Drew Brees- vs. Tennessee Titans
Over the past couple of weeks the New Orleans Saints have exploded and it’s in large part due to the arm of Drew Brees. This guy has been a passing monster, racking up thirty touchdowns and chasing the all time single season passing record held by the great Dan Marino. This year, Brees has a legitimate shot of eclipsing it. Look for nothing to change this week as Drew takes on a tough, yet sometimes, sloppy Titans defense. Folks who start this wonder boy won’t be disappointed.

4. Cam Newton- vs. Atlanta Falcons
What a year this young rookie has been having. Cam Newton has been a unique addition to the Carolina Panthers, certainly giving the city and the franchise their hope back. Newton, being an aerial and rushing threat, has done something no other QB has done by breaking the record for most single season rushing touchdowns by a quarterback. Newton is poised and in a good position to secure the rookie of the year award. This week, I see Newton leading an aggressive attack against the Atlanta Falcons.

5. Matthew Stafford- vs. Minnesota Vikings
This kid is finally healthy and having a career season. Despite a few hiccups this year, Stafford has done an outstanding job bringing the Lions back from the dead. It varies from week to week, but going up against a demoralized Vikings squad this week, Stafford could have a field day. His passing numbers are strong this season, his patience in the pocket is good, and his team is on the verge of making the playoffs. Look for Stafford to be balanced and levelheaded this weekend.

6. Eli Manning- vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Giants have suffered four losses in a row, the most recent to the Green Bay Packers, in a game where the Giants played like champions. Enough is enough as Eli and the Giants are hungry for a win to keep their season alive. Manning had a huge game the previous week and will most likely carry that momentum into this weekend. The bitter rivalry with Dallas will be taken to a whole new level considering first place in the NFC East is on the line. A lot rides on this game and Manning will be the standout amongst the crowd.

7. Philip Rivers- vs. Buffalo Bills
This has for the most part been a forgettable season for Phillip Rivers, but last week’s Monday night game saw a rejuvenated San Diego squad, but more importantly a star quarterback’s game-play resurface. Rivers was nearly perfect last week, tossing three touchdowns, throwing for 294 yards and earning a 146.6 passer rating. Rivers may have found his groove, albeit a little late in the season, but now with a game coming up against the struggling Bills, Rivers should be able create big plays and give his team a win, not to mention your fantasy squad one as well.

8. Tony Romo- vs. New York Giants
Tony Romo has put the Dallas Cowboys in a good position to win the NFC East, but has had an up and down, game to game season this year. He usually puts up pretty decent stats, passing yards almost always in the mid-200’s with a touchdown or two. This week, Romo’s true nature will be revealed against the New York Giants. Romo is good when he wants to be and this week, if he wants any hope of securing the division and a playoff spot, he’ll play his heart out.

9. Ben Roethlisberger- vs. Cleveland Browns
There’s a new “Iron Man,” or should I say “Man of Steel” in town and Big Ben is his name. Hopefully fantasy owners with Roethlisberger opted to start him against the Browns because this guy won’t quit. Getting knocked out in the second quarter of the game with what appeared to be a twisted ankle, Roethlisberger trotted back onto the field in the third quarter to finish the game, broken thumb and all. What a way to show dedication to your team. Thumbs up for Big Ben, well, until his heals at least. Hopefully, fantasy owners started the “Man of Steel.”

10. Matt Ryan- vs. Carolina Panthers
This hasn’t been the season the Atlanta Falcons initially chalked up, but they’re still in the hunt for the playoffs and Matt Ryan has been their guy since he first arrived in Atlanta. A tough loss last week in Houston will have the Falcons aching for a win this week, plus Matt Ryan goes up against a Carolina defense that hasn’t helped Cam Newton and his offense win games. They’ve let too many teams back into contests they should have won and Atlanta could be next on the list. Ryan will have a good day; start him if you don’t already have another quarterback option in the top ten.

11. Michael Vick- vs. Miami Dolphins
Michael Vick returns after missing three weeks of action. He may be a little rusty, but give him time to return to Vick form.

12. Tim Tebow- vs. Chicago Bears
The Tebow Train rolls again, as he continues to improve week by week. We’ll see if the magic will carry over to a game against the Bears this weekend.

13. Carson Palmer- vs. Green Bay Packers
Palmer will have his hands full this weekend, but the veteran is used to these types of games. He’ll do just fine.

14. Matt Moore- vs. Eagles
Matt Moore has helped revive a dead in the water Miami Dolphins sloppy start this year. His numbers are usually pretty solid and against the Eagles, he’ll be able to hold his own.

15. Ryan Fitzpatrick- vs. San Diego Chargers
Fitzpatrick started out the year on fire, but has fizzled out as of lately. He’s still performing well and will do adequately this weekend against San Diego.

16. Joe Flacco- vs. Indianapolis Colts
Joe Flacco has his good games and his bad games, but most of the credit is due to the Ravens run game. Flacco will have a good day passing against the worst team in the league.

17. Mark Sanchez- vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Despite a fair number of struggles this season and lowly passing yards, Sanchez has helped the Jets win. Look for another win by the Jets this weekend with Rex Ryan’s golden boy leading the charge.

18. Alex Smith- vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Niners are awesome this year and Alex Smith has found his groove again, but it may not be enough to be championship caliber.

19. Matt Hasselbeck- vs. New Orleans Saints
A tough game against the Saints may result in poor play from Matt Hasselbeck, but he’s smart, reliable, and will give his team a fighting chance to win.

20. Rex Grossman- vs. New England Patriots
Not the year Grossman and the Skins envisioned considering Rex started out so strong. It may be a long shot to win against New England, but he’s the better choice than John Beck.

21. Josh Freeman- vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Freeman and the Buccaneers could have had a better year considering last year’s season, but sometimes things don’t happen the way you plan them. Freeman will be okay against a disorganized Jags defense.

22. Andy Dalton- vs. Houston Texans
Dalton goes up against a tough Texans defense this weekend. He’s been good, but is he good to pass against a top five-ranked D?

23. Christian Ponder- vs. Detroit Lions
Christian Ponder has been a good answer to the Vikings woes, but he’s still young and learning the system and might not have what it takes this weekend against Detroit.

24. Tavaris Jackson- vs. St. Louis Rams
Jackson has performed well in a majority of games this season and with a game on Monday night against the Rams, he should put his team in a good position to get the W.

25. Dan Orlovsky- vs. Baltimore Ravens
Orlovsky has already proved he’s better than Curtis Painter by almost forging a comeback against New England last week, but is that likely in the cards this weekend against the Ravens? May want to think about that one.

26. Colt McCoy- vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Colt McCoy has been a decent quarterback for the Browns, but after Thursday night’s performance, McCoy may not be the QB the Browns hoped he’d be. You’ll be hoping you didn’t start him.

27. Kevin Kolb- vs. San Francisco 49ers
With John Skelton racking up a majority of the Cardinals wins, Kolb hasn’t been the Kurt Warner replacement Arizona was hoping for, then again, Warner will be hard to replace.

28. Sam Bradford- vs. Seattle Seahawks
This has been a very forgettable season for Bradford and the Rams. Exploring other candidates might not be a very bad idea, but then again Monday Night Football is always chalk full of surprises.

29. T.J. Yates- vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Yates has been better than expected as a third string quarterback, but to play against a tough Bengals D might be a lot to handle in just his second start.

30. Caleb Hanie- vs. Denver Broncos
Hanie has been less than stellar in his two starts with the Chicago Bears, especially last week’s debacle against the Chiefs. If anyone else available, I’d start them instead.

Fantasy Football: