Brian Hartline Fantasy Forecast

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Published: August 30, 2013

Brian Hartline’s Fantasy 2013

Brian Hartline FantasyMiami Dolphins wide receiver Brian Hartline is coming off of a career-year in 2012 where he hauled in 74 receptions for 1,083 yards and a touchdown. The stats look even better when you consider he played with a rookie quarterback in Ryan Tannehill and was essentially the only receiving option in a woeful Miami Dolphin passing attack. By default, someone had to lead the way in South Beach.

Things certainly have changed in 2013. Over this off-season the Dolphins made one of the biggest splashes during the free agent frenzy bringing in receivers Mike Wallace and Brandon Gibson to completely overhaul the team’s lackluster receiving corps. Tight end Dustin Keller was also amongst the off-season acquisitions, but was lost for the season as a result of a devastating knee injury during a recent preseason contest.

Brian Hartline himself was also rewarded, as a result of his steady production, he signed a 5-year $30.775 million deal during the Dolphins’ off-season spending spree.

The additions of Mike Wallace and Brandon Gibson should not hurt, but rather enhance Hartline statistically. Each receiver offers a unique skillset and will allow Brian Hartline to operate freely with far less attention than he has had to deal with in recent years. Wallace has elite speed and will be used to stretch the field with his vertical game. Gibson, listed as the team’s number three receiver on the depth chart, will man the slot and operate underneath. As a result of this revamped passing attack, led by the offensive-minded head coach Joe Philbin, Brian Hartline will likely see less double coverage and will be allowed to focus on beating the man in front of him, rather than beating the focus of an entire defensive scheme. Hartline is a solid route runner and should see a boost consistently lining up against a team’s number two cover corner.

Brian Hartline Career Stats

Year Team G Rec Tgt Yds Avg Lng YAC TD
2009 MIA 16 31 56 506 16.3 67 5.6 3
2010 MIA 12 43 73 615 14.3 54 5.2 1
2011 MIA 16 35 66 549 15.7 41 2.9 1
2012 MIA 16 74 131 1083 14.6 80 3.4 1
Totals 16 183 326 2753 15 67 4.1 6

Fantasywise, Hartline remains a bit of an enigma. One cannot argue with the receptions and yardage totals, they were appreciated. However, it’s the one, lonely touchdown he has averaged per season over the last three, the fact that 253 of his 2012 receiving yards came in one game against the Cardinals, and that he was targeted on only 12 of the team’s 131 red zone attempts that has fantasy owners scratching their heads trying to figure out how to appropriately value Hartline on draft day and throughout the course of the NFL season. Hartline is essentially third or fourth fantasy receiver option masked as a number two option for the Miami Dolphins.

In 2013, expect the unexpected; Brian Hartline built up enough of a rapport with Ryan Tannehill in 2012 to remain relatively productive this season. A slight regression in receptions and yardage is to be expected. However, as a result of the revamped Miami offense, Hartline should see a significant increase in touchdowns and this would help to keep him fantasy relevant in deeper leagues and as a viable bye week replacement over the course of the season. Hartline is currently listed with an ADP of 185 according to Fantasy Pros. While this number may scare some owners away on draft day, Brian Hartline’s previous body of work and new role within the offense has him ticketed as a late round steal for your team on draft day. Hartline should not be targeted early, but rather worth a roster spot as you begin to round out the back end of your team during your draft.

See where Gridiron Experts has Brian Hartline ranked in our 2013 fantasy wide receiver rankings. 

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